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After the Oscars and cash for access Marf gives her take pic.twitter.com/zQwWGcTx67 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015 CON & LAB level-pegging in latest Populus Lab 32 (-), Con 32 (+1), LD 9 (-), UKIP 15 (-2) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015 The last time that Populus had CON & LAB level-pegging was Dec 21st 2014. Then it was 35% each – today's poll 32% for both — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015 There are more LAB…

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Trend chart from Opinium which has just recorded its first ever CON lead in its Observer polling series pic.twitter.com/o4q9cS3RlB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015 Opinium shares Con 35%(+2), Lab 33%(-2), Lib Dems 6%(-2),UKIP 15%(+1),Green 7%(+1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 21, 2015 The poll represents a 4.2% CON to LAB swing in England Opinium ENGLAND only split CON 36 LAB 33 LD 7 UKIP 16 GRN 7 That compares with CON 11.4% lead in England at GE10 so a 4.1% CON to LAB…

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1. Boston & Skegness: pic.twitter.com/qPH9zxPmZL — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) February 19, 2015 2. Castle Point: pic.twitter.com/fN7TOjZ1bi — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) February 19, 2015 3. South Basildon & East Thurrock: pic.twitter.com/PtDrEtY0qI — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) February 19, 2015 4. North East Cambridgeshire: pic.twitter.com/UC2rVWuJPn — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) February 19, 2015 Lord A UKIP-CON marginals data finds little evidence of anti-purple tactical voting. 18/19% of 2010 LABLIBCON vote goes UKIP but not enough — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 19, 2015 Big surprise…

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Does it show similar figures to the published poll? With much of the current GE15 narrative being linked to ICM’s 4% lead poll from Monday it is interesting to note that this was not the only survey being carried out by the firm at the weekend. On Sunday, as I have reported, I was polled by ICM. The call was initiated from the firm’s big political calling centre in the Bromham Road in Bedford which is, incidentally, only about a…

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Ashcroft National Poll, 13-15 Feb: CON 30%, LAB 31%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 16%, GRN 8%. Full details on @ConHome, 4pm. — Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) February 16, 2015 Now LAB go into lead for 1st time this year in this week's @LordAshcroft national phone poll pic.twitter.com/5i5Oh6Q6or — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 16, 2015 @LordAshroft national poll. Some good +ve numbers for LAB here an bad ones for Farage/UKIP pic.twitter.com/kpfuLCcXhB — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 16, 2015 So what do we make…

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