After the Oscars and cash for access Marf gives her take pic.twitter.com/zQwWGcTx67

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

CON & LAB level-pegging in latest Populus Lab 32 (-), Con 32 (+1), LD 9 (-), UKIP 15 (-2)

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

The last time that Populus had CON & LAB level-pegging was Dec 21st 2014. Then it was 35% each – today's poll 32% for both

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

There are more LAB voters than CON in latest Populus poll but the latter group more certain to vote.

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

Because women generally less likely to say 10/10 certain to vote in online polls latest Populus output figures based on MEN 54% WOMEN 46%

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 23, 2015

The movement in the latest Populus online poll is a 1% jump from 31% to 32% in the CON share with LAB staying the same So things remaining very stable.

Later we should have the usual Ashcroft poll at 4pm with the possibility of another survey in addition to the Monday night YouGov.

It is important to stress that the Tories need to be more than level-pegging to be sure of being ahead on seats.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble

For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB