Survation finds its smallest SNP lead over LAB in Scotland since the IndyRef

Survation finds its smallest SNP lead over LAB in Scotland since the IndyRef

But party still on course for big seat losses

The monthly Survation Scottish poll for the Daily Record is out and the figures are in the Tweets above.

Although Labour’s deficit is still very large it will take some comfort from the trend -seen in the chart. It does appear to be getting just a tad better.

Every little movement here could have a huge impact in general elections terms. One seat projection from tonight’s figures has it that LAB would still be hold about half of the 41 seats it won at GE10 in Scotland. That would be a drop of 20 MPs which is a lot but not the wipe-out that some had predicted from other polling.

Two other Scottish polls this year, from Panelbase and TNS, have the gap at 10%. Ipsos a month ago made it 28%.

Next PB post – tomorrow’s new Ashcroft single seat polling due 11am

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble


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