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ICM 6% CON lead sets the election alight

ICM 6% CON lead sets the election alight

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ICM's CON 6% lead will bring LAB down to earth pic.twitter.com/DmRe2JAMmF — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 13, 2015 Will the @LordAshcroft phone poll, due at 4pm support ICM? They broadly similar approaches and ICM often carries out the Lord A fieldwork — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 13, 2015 A good showing for the blues from Lord A, which, last had them 3% ahead, would totally change the election narrative. If not – an outlier — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 13,…

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NHS polling blow for the Cameron and Osborne following the £8bn extra funding pledge

NHS polling blow for the Cameron and Osborne following the £8bn extra funding pledge

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YouGov/Times poll finds 43% saying NHS would get worse under CON compared with 25% under LAB. Fieldwork after the Tory £8bn extra pledge — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 13, 2015 The latest YouGov Sun poll sees LAB move to a 3% lead CON 33 (-1) LAB 36 (+2) LD 7 (=) UKIP 13 (=) GRN 5 (-1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 13, 2015 But could it take a few days to get through? First reaction to the Tory big…

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Policies not leadership will win this election

Policies not leadership will win this election

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Front page of the Mail on Sunday with the Tory policy announcement on IHT pic.twitter.com/bTbs0LobRj — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 11, 2015 Front page of the Independent on Sunday with the Lab policy announcement on tax avoidance pic.twitter.com/JYR3DKJPCt — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 11, 2015   Last night saw the the emergence of a major policy announcement by both the Tories and Labour, these can be seen as the appetising hors-d’oeuvre before the main course that is the manifesto launches in the…

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If this YouGov polling is correct stopping the SNP in Scotland could lead to tactical voting on a scale never seen before

If this YouGov polling is correct stopping the SNP in Scotland could lead to tactical voting on a scale never seen before

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New YouGov/C4 Scottish points to big tactical switch by CON/LAB/LD voters to stop SNP http://t.co/XCKQumcXyF — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 10, 2015 YouGov/C4 Scottish polling finds 31% of LAB voters & 39% of LDs ready to switch to CON if they thought that would stop SNP in their seat — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 10, 2015 YouGov/C4 Scottish polling finds 53% of Tories & 36% of LAB voters ready to switch to LD if they thought that would stop SNP…

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The final polls of the day make it rather a mixed picture for LAB

The final polls of the day make it rather a mixed picture for LAB

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After last week's 4% CON lead tonight's ComRes/Mail phone poll hasCon 34% (-2)Lab 33% (+1)Lib Dem 12% (+3)UKIP 12% (NC) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 9, 2015 ComRes chart with latest phone poll showing CON lead down by 3 pic.twitter.com/EeeoooP9cP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 9, 2015 YouGov/Sun poll has CON back in leadCON 35 (+1)LAB 34 (-1)LD 8 (=)UKIP 12 (-1)GRN 4 (-1)So only GB poll to have LAB position down. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 9, 2015

This afternoon’s batch of Ashcroft marginals polling has the battle for most seats on knife edge

This afternoon’s batch of Ashcroft marginals polling has the battle for most seats on knife edge

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OPne new LAB gains found or no CON holds found We’ve just got the latest round of Ashcroft marginals polling where all the fieldwork was between March 30th and April 4th. So all very up to date. The details of the seats included are set out below. As can be seen there are no changes on previous Ashcroft polls in the seats. The battle is very very tight. @LordAshcroft Blackpool N CON hold pic.twitter.com/gkSBnMPxZr — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 8,…

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