Browsed by
Category: Polls

And let’s not forget the pollsters and the polls

And let’s not forget the pollsters and the polls

CON final GB margin over LAB 6.6%Best pollster had 1% lead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 8, 2015 How Survation chickened out of publishing poll that was almost spot on using ballot form prompthttp://t.co/aQNIRRRecu — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 8, 2015 Will @YouGov be continuing with the daily poll? — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 8, 2015 RT @StephanShaxper A terrible night for us pollsters. I apologise for a poor performance. We need to find out why. — YouGov (@YouGov) May…

Read More Read More

Another 3 polls have it neck and neck on MegaPollingWednesday

Another 3 polls have it neck and neck on MegaPollingWednesday

Final @ComResPolls poll for @DailyMailUK Con 35% (NC) Lab 34% (+2) Lib Dem 9% (NC) UKIP 12% (-2) Green 4% (NC) Others 6% (NC) — James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) May 6, 2015 25% of those likely to vote are undecided or may change their mind before tomorrow: @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK — James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) May 6, 2015 Preferred Prime Minister: David Cameron 52%, Ed Miliband 31% @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK — James Chapman (Mail) (@jameschappers) May 6, 2015 BREAKING: Final YouGov/Sun poll for…

Read More Read More

LAB jump 3 with ICM to put them level-pegging

LAB jump 3 with ICM to put them level-pegging

The ICM Guardian poll pic.twitter.com/RLLLQ0Ri1a — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 The ICM 3% increase for LAB looks good for EdM and worrying for CON. Tonight's poll is first from firm since Jan that CON not ahead — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 But all four phone pollsters will continue fieldwork this evening and be issuing final final polls.

GE2015 Day Minus 1 – the latest polling/betting round-up

GE2015 Day Minus 1 – the latest polling/betting round-up

New Panelbase poll of Scottish voting intention has SNP in its dominant position SNP 48LAB 26CON 14LD 5UKIP 3GRN 2 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 The main findings of a ComRes poll of undecided voters for ITV's Good Morning Britain pic.twitter.com/RwOidh5w8v — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 New YouGov/Standard poll for London hasLAB 46CON 33LD 9UKIP 8GN 3A 5.5% CON to LAB swing since GE10 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 6, 2015 TNS final poll – CON…

Read More Read More

With so much potential tactical voting the overall national party vote shares won’t mean as much

With so much potential tactical voting the overall national party vote shares won’t mean as much

Tomorrow is about seats not national vote totals There’s lots of talk at the moment about the electoral “system being bust” and “no longer fit for purpose”. What is being pointed to are possible disparities between national aggregate vote shares and the total of MPs each party ends up with on Friday morning. Yet as we’ve seen strikingly in Monday’s ICM Hallam poll or last week’s Ashcroft survey in Jim Murphy’s Renfrewshire East a very large slab of electors on…

Read More Read More

Two new polls have the battle very tight

Two new polls have the battle very tight

To recap 1 online pollster LAB lead 1% 3 online pollsters level pegging 2 phone pollster CON leads 2% & 3% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 Survation Mirror poll with changes on previous survey for paper LAB 34% (NC); CON 33% (NC); UKIP 16% (NC); LD 9% (NC); GRE 4% (+1) — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 Survation Mirror Ballot Prompt voting responses where seat specific ballot papers shownCON 31%LAB 32%LD 10%UKIP 15%GREEN 5%SNP 4% — Mike Smithson…

Read More Read More

Two polls so far – Populus remains level pegging while CON Ashcroft lead falls back 4

Two polls so far – Populus remains level pegging while CON Ashcroft lead falls back 4

The signs start going up pic.twitter.com/xqrNRNCR60 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 @LordAshcroft final poll detailsCON 32%, LAB 30%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%, GRN 7% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 I'm told there'll be another Populus poll so latest one wasn't finalCon 34 (+1), Lab 34 (+1), Ukip 13 (-2), LD 10+1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 5, 2015 Just got back from London where I recorded several TV interviews plus made a contribution to the BBC…

Read More Read More