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Category: Polls

YouGov poll finds the SNP regaining their majority at Holyrood but Scots don’t want a second indyref or to leave the UK

YouGov poll finds the SNP regaining their majority at Holyrood but Scots don’t want a second indyref or to leave the UK

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YouGov Holyrood seat prediction by @scotlandvotes SNP 71(+8) Lab 18(-6) LD 4(-1) Con 26(-5) UKIP 0(=) Grns 10(+4) pic.twitter.com/yxh8bCyYtR — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 2, 2016 A good poll for the SNP but not for Scottish Independence This morning The Times published a poll conducted by YouGov, the good news for the SNP, as YouGov notes The survey also looks at Holyrood voting intention for the first time since the Scottish Parliament elections in May, which provides better news for the…

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Some sobering polling for the Corbynites and tonight’s by-elections summary

Some sobering polling for the Corbynites and tonight’s by-elections summary

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Our polling average update: Tories lead by eleven points, more than Cameron ever achieved against Miliband/Corbyn. pic.twitter.com/8kZu2c6YBx — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 1, 2016 Tonight's council by-elections: three Conservative, one UKIP, one Labour. pic.twitter.com/3DI52DLdBf — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) September 1, 2016 TSE  

August’s Ipsos Mori issues index. Immigration & Immigrants regains top spot

August’s Ipsos Mori issues index. Immigration & Immigrants regains top spot

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A sign the voters don’t expect the Brexit deal to end the freedom of movement? The latest Ipsos Mori issues index is out. Ipsos Mori say After reaching a record level of concern in July following Britain’s decision to leave the EU, fewer Britons now show concern about the EU, according to Ipsos MORI’s August Issues Index. Three in ten (31%) now say they are concerned about the EU – down 9 points from July – although it is still…

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Corbyn set to win Labour leadership contest with even bigger mandate than last time YouGov poll finds.

Corbyn set to win Labour leadership contest with even bigger mandate than last time YouGov poll finds.

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Corbyn set to win Labour leadership contest with even bigger mandate than last time YouGov poll finds. pic.twitter.com/IdlCJtfdI9 — TSE (@TSEofPB) August 30, 2016 Exclusive: Corbyn on course for an increased mandate – YouGov poll in tomorrow's @thetimes 62 to 38 excl don't knows. 1/3 — Francis Elliott (@elliottengage) August 30, 2016 Corbyn emboldened to purge critics with 48 per cent backing reselection for all sitting MPs 2/3 — Francis Elliott (@elliottengage) August 30, 2016 Most eligible to vote in…

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A tribute to Sir Antony Jay

A tribute to Sir Antony Jay

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Earlier on this week Sir Antony Jay, co-creator and writer of Yes Minister and Yes Prime Minister died. For my mind, both shows remain timeless, there’s the above clip about how leading questions can influence polling results, though the scene above was in the days before the BPC. The scene below is probably even more relevant in these post EU referendum days. But there many other clips I could have used to show the genius of this show. TSE

The polls might still be overstating Labour

The polls might still be overstating Labour

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Disillusionment and disengagement rather than defection is the danger The Ipsos-Mori poll this week contained a paradox. On the one hand, Labour’s headline voting intention share was 34%, some way up on their General Election performance. On the other, Jeremy Corbyn’s approval ratings were awful. His overall score of -34 was bad enough but his net rating with Labour’s own voters, at -7%, was considerably lower than Theresa May’s approval rating of some +16% with those same voters. In fact…

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Making sense of this week’s UK and US polling – the PB/Polling Matters TV Show

Making sense of this week’s UK and US polling – the PB/Polling Matters TV Show

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Hardly a day’s gone by without some new UK poll much of it focused on the new PM and, of course, the Smth-Corbyn battle for the Labour leadership. On top of that WH2016 gets closer and the question is being asked of whether a Hillary Clinton is now inevitable. Discussing this with Keiran Pedley is pollster Rob Vance and polling analyst Leo Barasi. On this week’s podcast the team continue the new format of the show. Each guest picks a…

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