Browsed by
Category: Polls

For first time since being sacked after getting GE2005 spot on NOP (now GfK) is back doing UK political polls

For first time since being sacked after getting GE2005 spot on NOP (now GfK) is back doing UK political polls

Comments 0 Comment

UK Polling Report Welcome back – you’ve been missed One of the great jokes whenever people interested in polling have met in recent years is that is the person from NOP (now GfK) popping up to remind to remind us that the firm in its last published political poll got the outcome of the 2005 general election absolutely right. For whatever reason the Independent, which had commissioned the firm decided, to switch pollsters after 2005 and since then GfK has…

Read More Read More

New poll finds increasing support for a second referendum with 66% of REMAIN voters now wanting one

New poll finds increasing support for a second referendum with 66% of REMAIN voters now wanting one

Comments 0 Comment

Via @JamesPurefoy a pic from the anti-BREXIT march and a reminder to put your clocks forward tonight pic.twitter.com/FbAkXAIccA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 25, 2017 But overall most of those sampled continue to be against Keiran Pedley looks at new poll numbers from the Polling Matters / Opinium series ahead of the Prime Minister invoking Article 50 this week. Listeners to this week’s (revamped) PB/Polling Matters podcast (see below) will know that we have a new survey out this week….

Read More Read More

Growing in size Britain’s weirdest voting group: The Kippers who now think leaving the EU is wrong

Growing in size Britain’s weirdest voting group: The Kippers who now think leaving the EU is wrong

Comments 0 Comment

Over the last few months, as those who follow the site will know, I have been writing posts and tweets about the YouGov Brexit tracker which come which comes out two or three times a month. The actual question is “In hindsight do you think Britain was right or wrong to vote to leave the EU?” The overall picture is that the gap between those who think the outcome was wrong has and those right has narrowed and for the…

Read More Read More

If the PVV do it tonight in the Dutch election it will be another polling miss where the right was understated

If the PVV do it tonight in the Dutch election it will be another polling miss where the right was understated

Comments 0 Comment

Wikipedia British punters stayed with the PVV until yesterday Betdata.io The big political betting event today is the Dutch General Election where the betting prices have been out of line with the polling. British punters appear to have been taking a view that the PVV will do better than the surveys suggest. At one stage Betfair had the PVV at a 71% chance – at 1pm that was down to 34% I took Alistair Meeks’ post yesterday seriously and have…

Read More Read More

Opinium: Most of those polled say 2nd Scottish IndyRef ‘not justified’ but only one in three sure of a no vote if one happens

Opinium: Most of those polled say 2nd Scottish IndyRef ‘not justified’ but only one in three sure of a no vote if one happens

Comments 0 Comment

With Scottish Independence back on the agenda and Northern Ireland heading for crisis, Keiran Pedley argues that London is far too complacent about the future of the Union. Following last week’s poll by Ipsos Mori showing an apparent spike in support for Scottish Independence and Jeremy Corbyn’s comments this weekend suggesting that he is ‘fine’ with a second referendum, it feels like a good time to unveil the latest Polling Matters / Opinium survey. Our latest survey focused on UK…

Read More Read More

Support for Corbyn is weakening among Labour members. Don’t assume a Corbynite replaces him.

Support for Corbyn is weakening among Labour members. Don’t assume a Corbynite replaces him.

Comments 0 Comment

Corbyn is safe for now argues Keiran Pedley but with his popularity among Labour members falling and Brexit on the horizon he is unlikely to lead Labour into a General Election. Those of you watching Peston yesterday will know that YouGov has a new poll of Labour members out courtesy of Ian Warren of Election Data. 1,096 Labour members were interviewed last week (27 Feb – 3 Mar) and here are some of the key numbers. The first notable data…

Read More Read More

77% of non Labour voters say Labour has the wrong leader and 73% say Labour has the wrong policies

77% of non Labour voters say Labour has the wrong leader and 73% say Labour has the wrong policies

Comments 0 Comment

Some truly damning @ComResPolls polling for Corbyn and it contains some worrying polling for Labour too. https://t.co/0S4xgZYGw4 pic.twitter.com/ch34ZuPFXS — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 25, 2017 This poll, like the result in Copeland, is a harbinger of a truly awful general election result for Labour. When will Corbyn take responsibility? ComRes have conducted a poll for The Sunday Mirror, and if you’re Jeremy Corbyn or a Labour supporter it makes me for painful reading, the poll shows A damning poll after Labour’s…

Read More Read More

Fifty shades of grey voters. Corbyn’s punishing polling with older voters.

Fifty shades of grey voters. Corbyn’s punishing polling with older voters.

Comments 0 Comment

Corbyn is doing worse with older voters, and history shows older voters turn out to vote and are a growing demographic. A few weeks ago whilst looking at the polling entrails I was struck by how much of a lead with older voters Mrs May was developing over Jeremy Corbyn in the best Prime Minister polling. As we can see with the chart above, there’s a clear correlation with the older you get, the more you prefer Mrs May as…

Read More Read More