RNB – New Delhi Mar 10 2005 CONSERVATIVES 39% 33.2% LABOUR 31% 36.2% LIB DEMS 20% 22.7% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% — What do think of RNB’s numbers and unique analysis? Thanks to Gabble on a thread last night for spotting this – a new opinion poll from a leading research company from India which carried out a survey of Westminster voting intentions from a sample of 1,800 voters from March 4 to March 10th. The findings,…
YouGov Daily poll Mar 16 Mar 15 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 32% 32% LIB DEMS 19% 21% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3.5% 3.5% And the LD bounce starts to fade So the only change tonight is a two point drop in the Lib Dem share – the Tory and Labour shares stay the same. Not a lot else to say really. Mike Smithson
Opinium (Daily Express) Mar 15 Mar 8 CONSERVATIVES 39% 37% LABOUR 28% 30% LIB DEMS 16% 16% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 4.5% The first published Opinium poll for the Daily Express was only last week and now we have a second. The trend is sharply to the Tories which reinforces what we saw earlier with ICM. Opinium operates on-line with a polling panel and like other firms that operate in this way it is reporting much bigger…
ICM: Oct 8 2009 CON 2009 LAB 2009 LD 2009 Voted CON in 2005 94% 0% 2% Voted LAB in 2005 20% 62% 11% Voted LD in 2005 14% 12% 68% ICM: March 11 2010 CON 2010 LAB 2010 LD 2010 Voted CON in 2005 88% 2% 6% Voted LAB in 2005 15% 70% 9% Voted LD in 2005 10% 7% 75% Does this tell the story of the squeeze in the polls? One of the great polling innovations since…
Gallup polls 1970 CON LAB LIB January 48% 41% 7% February 48% 41% 9% March 46% 41% 9% April 47% 42% 7% May 42% 49% 7% June 42% 49% 7% Election: June 18th 46.2% 43.8% 7.6% Can the blues take comfort from Heath’s 1970 victory? Just look at the table showing the Gallup polls in 1970 in the six months ahead of the general election. Look in particular at how Heath’s Conservatives were well ahead until the May-June period when…
ICM Sunday Telegraph Mar 11 Mar 4 CONSERVATIVES 38% 40% LABOUR 31% 31% LIB DEMS 21% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 6% But it’s Clegg’s party not Labour that benefits The first of tonight’s polls, ICM for the Telegraph, provides a real boost for the Lib Dems who are gathered in Birmingham for their Spring conference. The 21% shares is only 1.7% down on what they achieved last time and must give them real hopes of hanging…
Yet more polls on the way! Marf, PB’s cartoonist, has been totally tied up for months in a big project but she’s still keen to maintain her links with PB. The above drawing was done for the site’s 5th birthday last year and hasn’t been published before. So as we wait for tonight’s polling news I thought I’d give it a show now. Marf’s work can be found here. Don’t forget to take part in the PB survey. All views…
YouGov daily poll (The Sun) Mar 10 Mar 9 CONSERVATIVES 37% 36% LABOUR 32% 32% LIB DEMS 17% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4% 3.5% And the Lib Dems slump after last night’s boost So the Labour share remains stable tonight with the Tories edging up and the Lib Dems taking quite a hit. This will bring some relief to the blue team which yesterday touched a two and half year low with its 36% share. Meanwhile the…