Who won final debate? ICM AR YouGov ComRes Populus Cameron 35% 36% 41% 35% 38% Clegg 27% 30% 32% 33% 38% Brown 29% 23% 25% 26% 25% Debate polling – the final figures All of the pollsters agree that it was Dave wot did it – though Populus has him sharing the top slot with Clegg. Meanwhile the phone pollster that operates in a very similar manner, ICM for the Guardian, had the Lib Dem leader in bottom place. Martin…
TRS-BMRB Apr 27 Apr 20 CONSERVATIVES 34% 34% LIB DEMS 30% 30% LABOUR 27% 29% There’s a new poll out from TNS-BMRB – the firm that operates on a face to face basis but where interviewees key in their voting intention responses in a confidential manner on a computer. Not much change on the previous week apart from the drop in the Labour share. Note that fieldwork finished on Tuesday – the day before Mr. Brown went to Rochdale. The…
Conservatives lead by 4, Labour & Lib Dems tied ComRes/ITV-The Independent Apr 26 Apr 25 CONSERVATIVES 33% 32% LIB DEMS 29% 31% LABOUR 29% 28% Can we be careful not to discuss postal voting poll subsets as this may be illegal – thanks. Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) www.electiongame.co.uk The UK game will be released shortly
Conservative lead 8 with Populus, 4 with YouGov Labour up to second place with YouGov Populus/The Times Apr 27 Apr 20 CONSERVATIVES 36% 32% LIB DEMS 28% 31% LABOUR 27% 28% YouGov/The Sun Apr 27 Apr 26 CONSERVATIVES 33% 33% LIB DEMS 28% 29% LABOUR 29% 28% Double Carpet (Twitter:@electiongame) www.electiongame.co.uk The UK game will be released shortly
This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 25 Apr 34 28 30 8 Con 4 BPIX 24 Apr 34 26 30 10 Con 4 Ipsos-MORI 23 Apr 36 30 23 11 Con 6 ComRes…
Top 5 postal voting seats 2005 Postal ballots issued LAB-LD swing required 2010 Newcastle North 45.4% 8.5% Stevenage 45% Rushcliffe 39.9% Newcastle Central 36.7% 11.5% Newcastle East 35.4% 10.5% National average 12.1% …is this why Cleggie headed first for Newcastle? I was very struck on Friday with the oddness of Clegg’s travel schedule on the day after the Sky News debate in Bristol. On the face of it you would have thought that he’d have headed out to some of…
Lots of hints starting to emerge about the polls for the Sunday papers. Kratz reported this on an earlier thread: “Labour are losing ground in ICM to both the Lib Dems and the Tories. The gap between Tories and LD is greater than in the previous ICM but the LD share is higher once again. Sorry for talking in riddles.” Looking back over previous comments from Kratz he/she has been pretty good with poll predictions – the reason why I…
YouGov Daily Poll – Sun Apr 23 Apr 22 CONSERVATIVES 34% 34% LIB DEMS 29% 28% LABOUR 29% 29% It’s almost no change after the second debate This evening’s YouGov daily poll for the Sun is just out and apart from the one point lift for the Lib Dems it’s no change. This is the first poll where all the fieldwork followed the debate and both the red and blue teams might feel a tad disappointed not to have seen…