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Category: Polls

Remember the last time YouGov was out of line..?

Remember the last time YouGov was out of line..?

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Polling comparisons from 2004 Date CON % LAB % LD% General election result 05/05/05 33.2 36.2 22.7 YouGov/Mail on Sunday 08/05/04 40 36 18 YouGov/Telegraph 29/04/04 39 35 19 MORI 19/04/04 34 36 22 ICM/Guardian 18/04/04 33 38 22 Populus/Times 04/04/04 34 34 22 YouGov/Telegraph 25/03/04 39 34 20 MORI 16/03/04 35 35 23 ICM/Guardian 11/03/04 35 37 21 Populus/Times 07/03/04 34 36 22 YouGov/Telegraph 26/02/04 39 34 21 ICM/Guardian 22/02/04 34 36 21 MORI/FT 16/02/04 35 36 21 Populus/Times…

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The welfare cuts continue to get strong public backing

The welfare cuts continue to get strong public backing

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Making the long term unemployed spend 4 weeks doing unpaid work All voters CON voters LAB voters LD voters Support 73 92 58 83 Oppose 17 3 31 14 Don’t know 10 5 10 3 Withdrawing Jobseekers Allowance from those who turn down a job offer or interview All voters CON voters LAB voters LD voters Support 66 82 57 71 Oppose 21 8 33 22 Don’t know 12 9 10 6 More stringent testing for people receiving Disability Living…

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YouGov: Where 1 Mirror reader = 8 Guardian ones

YouGov: Where 1 Mirror reader = 8 Guardian ones

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YouGov’s newspaper weightings Unweighted number Weighted number “Value” of each reader in the poll Express/Mail 417 301 0.72 Sun/Star 206 429 2.08 Mirror/Record 114 309 2.71 Guardian/Indy 173 62 0.36 FT/Times/Telegraph 224 170 0.76 Other paper 217 232 1.07 No paper 655 505 0.77 Could newspaper weightings be causing distortions? The big polling news overnight was that the YouGov dailly poll reported a share of just 9% for the Lib Dems alongside 40% for the Tories and Labour. In doing…

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YouGov blows for the LDs on AV and Labour on the cuts

YouGov blows for the LDs on AV and Labour on the cuts

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“Stick with first past the post or stick with AV?” (YouGov) All voters CON% LAB % LD% Switch to AV 32 24 32 70 Stick with first past the post 43 62 49 14 Wouldn’t vote/don’t know 25 14 19 16 “Blame for the spending cuts?” (YouGov) All voters CON% LAB % LD% CON-LD coalition 20 1 52 5 Last Labour government 46 91 7 69 Both 22 5 25 15 Neither 7 2 13 6 Lots of polling has…

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What’ll slashing 500,000 public sector jobs do to the Tory vote?

What’ll slashing 500,000 public sector jobs do to the Tory vote?

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Populus poll All voters Public Sector Private Sector Retired voters CON 37 23 45 44 LAB 38 50 30 37 LD 15 17 15 10 Do people vote according to their current situation? The above table has been produced from data from this week’s Populus poll for the Times and shows the voting intention shares broken down in terms of respondents employment sector or whether or not they are retired. As can be seen there’s a massive gap between private…

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Is welfare the new political divide?

Is welfare the new political divide?

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What are the dangers in getting tough? Maybe I’m being unfair to suggest that there is perhaps nothing that pleases Daily Mail readers more than reading headlines like this morning’s about the efforts to tighten up on who should receive the £95-a-week Employment and Support Allowance – which is replacing incapacity benefit. Phrases like “weeding out the work-shy” are powerful and resonate, surely with the audience. The Mail highlights new statistics showing that 640,000 out of about 840,000 who applied…

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Is Labour making the Mrs Thatcher “Oct 1990” mistake?

Is Labour making the Mrs Thatcher “Oct 1990” mistake?

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Remember when the “Dead Parrot” struck back Next month we’ll see the twentieth anniversary of what for me was the biggest earthquake in UK politics of my life-time – the ousting of the Conservative party’s three times election winner, Margaret Thatcher. A few weeks earlier, on Friday October 12th 1990, the leader had received her biggest applause from her party conference in Bournemouth in response to a joke based on the famous Monty Python sketch which she linked to the…

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Boost for Tories in first post CSR phone poll

Boost for Tories in first post CSR phone poll

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Poll/publication End date CON (%) LAB (%) LD (%) ICM/NOTW 22/10/10 40 36 16 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 07/10/10 38 34 18 ICM/Guardian 29/09/10 35 37 18 ICM/Guardian 15/08/10 37 37 18 ICM/Guardian 25/07/10 38 34 19 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 24/06/10 41 35 16 ICM/Guardian 20/06/10 39 31 21 ICM/Guardian 23/05/10 39 32 21 ICM/Sunday Telegraph 13/05/10 38 33 21 And the LD total is sharply in contrast with YouGov There’s a new ICM poll just out for tomorrow’s News of the World…

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