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The Ipsos-Mori Almanac

The Ipsos-Mori Almanac

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Ipsos-Mori have published their almanac for 2012, and it makes for fascinating reading, analysing the movements of 2012, and putting them into context and the problems and opportunities facing all the parties and leaders. You can view it for free, here. They note the trigger for the Tories’ loss of support seems to have been the budget delivered by George Osborne on 21 March, or perhaps the “omnishambles” of U-turns and clarifications that followed it…… Gideon Skinner of Ipsos-Mori concludes…

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Finally ICM – what surely is the last telephone poll of 2012

Finally ICM – what surely is the last telephone poll of 2012

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ICM pie chart showing December 2012 poll for Guardian with changes on January 2012. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 25, 2012 Back in March 2012, the day before George Osborne’s budget, ICM was showing a 3% CON lead. Now, for third month in a row, LAB is 8% ahead. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 25, 2012 The big political event of the month – Osborne’s so called “trap” on capped benefits seems to have had no impact on voting…

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Maybe, just maybe, voters are starting to believe that the NHS is safe in Tory hands

Maybe, just maybe, voters are starting to believe that the NHS is safe in Tory hands

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If the trend in the Ipsos MORI Issues index is correct then the NHS is not as politically potent as it was.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 20, 2012 Concern about the service drops to lowest level since election Last night the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index for December was published and one of the highlights was the decline in the numbers of those saying that the NHS was an important issue facing the country. The Index operates in a…

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Concerns about the economy and jobs continue to top the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

Concerns about the economy and jobs continue to top the Ipsos-MORI Issues Index

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The economy and unemployment remain the main issues that those sampled by Ipsos MORI say are the most important twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 19, 2012 The December Ipsos-MORI Issues Index is out and the main converns and changes are listed above. This survey has been carried out in the same way for 37 years and involves respondents being asked to list what they think are the main concerns facing the country. Uniquely this is done without any prompting…

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ComRes and Populus Phone Polls out

ComRes and Populus Phone Polls out

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Two new phone polls are out, and they are mirroring the online pollsters which see UKIP increasing. Populus for the Times Conservatives 29 (minus 6) Labour 40 (no change) Lib Dems 11 (plus 2) UKIP 10 (plus 6) It also said that 12 per cent of those who voted Tory in 2010 now say they would support UKIP, and UKIP are up 8% in a year with Populus. UKIP is up six points and the Tories down six points, although…

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New Ipsos-MORI polling suggests that voters want benefits to go up with inflation – not capped as Osborne wants

New Ipsos-MORI polling suggests that voters want benefits to go up with inflation – not capped as Osborne wants

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59% tell Ipsos-MORI that benefits should rise with inflation not as proposed in autumn statement.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2012 69% tell Ipsos MORI that rich not doing enough towards helping the economy.See chart twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2012 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

Osborne’s political task today is to get the blues back into the game

Osborne’s political task today is to get the blues back into the game

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Pie chart showing today’s YouGov poll which has CON just one off its lowest level with pollster twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 5, 2012 Today’s YouGov poll has the Tories down at 30% – just one point above their lowest level yet with the firm and 14% behind Labour. Although it is always dangerous reading too much into one single daily poll this latest finding means that the Labour lead has been at 12 or more in five out…

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Dave could be facing a big challenge winning support for press control without legislation

Dave could be facing a big challenge winning support for press control without legislation

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The first post Leveson report poll suggests that Cameron might be on the wrong side of public opinion. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 2, 2012 First Leveson polling reaction: By 50-29%, people tell YouGov that Cameron was wrong to oppose Leveson’s proposals for new legislation — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2012 By 50-26%, those sampled by YouGov think Clegg was right to back Leveson’s proposal. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2012 By 46-32%, people tell YouGov that…

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