Browsed by
Category: Polls

Lord Ashcroft marginals poll out

Lord Ashcroft marginals poll out

Comments 0 Comment

New Ashcroft marginals poll points to LAB majority of 84. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 9, 2013 Ashcroft marginals poll suggests that CON would lose to LAB 93 of its 107 most marginal seats — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 9, 2013   LDs would lose 17 to CON and 13 to LAB according to Ashcroft marginals poll — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 9, 2013   Lord Ashcroft has conducted and published a poll in  213 constituencies throughout Great Britain –…

Read More Read More

Exactly 2 years and 2 months to go and an Ashcroft mega-poll finds that a CON majority is the least preferred outcome

Exactly 2 years and 2 months to go and an Ashcroft mega-poll finds that a CON majority is the least preferred outcome

Comments 0 Comment

A new Ashcroft megapoll with 20,022 sample finds that more people want another coalition than a CON maj. LAB maj top. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 8, 2013 Precisely 26 months till the GE2015 results start coming in In exactly two years and two months on another Friday morning many of us will have been up all night watching the results of GE2015 come in. Will we be seeing the LAB majority that almost all surveys since Osborne’s March…

Read More Read More

New Ashcroft Eastleigh poll has the LDs 5 percent ahead

New Ashcroft Eastleigh poll has the LDs 5 percent ahead

Comments 0 Comment

All fieldwork was AFTER Rennardgate story came out Mark Pack reporting that LDs have 5% lead in post-Rennard poll, markpack.org.uk/39506/new-east… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 25, 2013 We’ll probably have to wait till tomorrow before getting the poll detail. The figures are almost exactly the same as the Times Populus poll published on Friday night. It’s understood that Populus carry out Lord Ashcroft’s surveys. It would appear that the weekend of terrible coverage for the Lib Dems hasn’t had…

Read More Read More

Concern about immigration the biggest mover in the February Issues Index from Ipsos-MORI

Concern about immigration the biggest mover in the February Issues Index from Ipsos-MORI

Comments 0 Comment

Feb Ipsos MORI Issues index has immigration the biggest riser.Economy still top. EU still doesn’t make top 10 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 22, 2013 The regular polling that measures salience The monthly isssues index from Ipsos-MORI is one of my favourite regular surveys because it is the only one that is designed to measure how salient people’s concerns are. This is done by having the interviews take place face-to-face and to ask what that sampled see as the…

Read More Read More

Lib Dems have a 3 percent lead in Eastleigh according to new Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday

Lib Dems have a 3 percent lead in Eastleigh according to new Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday

Comments 0 Comment

The LDs take a 3% lead in Survation #Eastleigh by-elecion poll for Mail on Sunday. CON 33: LAB 13; LD 36: Ukip 16. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 9, 2013 And LAB is FOURTH place behind Ukip The second poll of the Eastleigh by-election campaign is just out. It is a telephone poll carried out by Survation for the Mail on Sunday and the broad picture it shows it quite similar to the Michael Ashcroft survey on Thursday night….

Read More Read More

The YouGov LAB lead over CON reaches a record high

The YouGov LAB lead over CON reaches a record high

Comments 0 Comment

Today’s LAB lead of 15% in YouGov daily poll is an all-time high for the firm. CON 30%: LAB 45% twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 5, 2013 @a_c_mcgregor But which was the outlier?The sequence of LAB leads has been 6, 6, 9, 9, 12, 7, 15 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 5, 2013 The full YouGov figures for today: CON 30%, LAB 45%, LD 11%, UKIP 9% — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 5, 2013

Replacing Cameron? The polling is clear – Dave is liked more than his party

Replacing Cameron? The polling is clear – Dave is liked more than his party

Comments 0 Comment

A reminder to Tory leadership plotters: The party is a drag on Dave not the other way round – See Ipsos-MORI polling twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Ladbrokes move the “Dave’ll be out” before #GE2015 odds in from 10/1 to 7/1. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

LAB YouGov daily poll lead moves back to pre-Cameron EU speech levels. Any bounce seems well and truly over

LAB YouGov daily poll lead moves back to pre-Cameron EU speech levels. Any bounce seems well and truly over

Comments 0 Comment

Today’s LAB YouGov share up to 44% – 12% ahead of CON.Chart shows that the DC EU speech bounce is over twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 55% tell Ashcroft that they want a LAB maj or LAB-LD coalition Lord Ashcroft phone poll finds that 55% want a LAB majority or LAB-LD coalition. 45% want CON maj or CON-LD coalition twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 Lord Ashcroft poll finds that 30% want to see the…

Read More Read More