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Category: Polls

The politics of Wind farms: Even CON voters are more in favour than against

The politics of Wind farms: Even CON voters are more in favour than against

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But Ukip voters express the most opposition By 33% to 31% ComRes poll finds CON supporters would be more likely to vote for candidates in the locals who are in favour of wind farms. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 1, 2013 The findings above are from a new ComRes online poll commissioned by RenewableUK, the trade body for the wind industry. One question, featured above, was on whether voters would be more or less inclined to vote for candidates who…

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Today’s ComRes local elections poll is based on 56pc saying they are certain to vote with a MALE:FEMALE ratio of 6:4

Today’s ComRes local elections poll is based on 56pc saying they are certain to vote with a MALE:FEMALE ratio of 6:4

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Note the other methodology qualifications On a night of many polls perhaps the most interesting and relevant to tomorrow’s local elections is the above one from ComRes online which was funded by the Coalition for Marriage – the body that’s been campaigning against the gay marriage proposals. Because of the geographical specifics and likely low turnout this has been a very challenging survey for the pollster to carry out and there are some important qualifications. Unlike normal ComRes voting intention…

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The economy remains top concern in latest Ipsos-MORI Index with unemployment and housing on the rise

The economy remains top concern in latest Ipsos-MORI Index with unemployment and housing on the rise

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The April Ipsos-MORI Issues Index sees unemployment move into 2nd place with immigration down to 3rd. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 30, 2013 Concern about housing moves to its highest level for 5 years according to latest Ipsos-Mori Issues Index twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 30, 2013 Concern about unemployment edges back up in April Ipsos-MORI Issues Index twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 30, 2013 The Ipsos-MORI Issues Index is unique because the questioning is unprompted &…

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The scene is set for a dramatic and unpredictable election day on Thursday

The scene is set for a dramatic and unpredictable election day on Thursday

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All but one of the main four monthly pollsters have UKIP on record highs. The other one has them just 1 off. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 30, 2013 One of the key rules when analysing polls is not to compare the individual numbers from the different firms but to look at the overall trends. And from the main pollsters, the established firms that have been commissioned to carry out regular voting intention surveys at least once since at…

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As the measles outbreak continues YouGov finds that UKIP voters are more likely than others to believe that MMR is unsafe

As the measles outbreak continues YouGov finds that UKIP voters are more likely than others to believe that MMR is unsafe

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Chart from YouGov data on how Ukip voters are far more likely than others to believe that MMR vaccine is unsafe. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 21, 2013 LAB lead increases by 1% with YouGov Today’s YouGov snapshot for the Sunday Times sees LAB lead once again in single figures.CON 32,LAB 40,LD 11,UKIP 10 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 21, 2013 YouGov leader ratings see rises for Dave & Nick but EdM’s down Cameron’s YouGov leadership ratings see him…

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Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for April

Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for April

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Ipsos Mori Political Monitor for April is out now, the changes are from their last poll in March   Conservatives 29 (+2) Labour 38 (-2) Lib Dems 10 (-1) UKIP 15 (+2)   The UKIP share is the highest share ever for the party in a phone poll On the Leadership ratings Mr Miliband has the highest net satisfaction rating of the three main party leaders, on minus 16 compared with Mr Cameron’s minus 28 and Mr Clegg’s dire minus…

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The response to the death of Mrs. Thatcher: Today’s YouGov verdicts

The response to the death of Mrs. Thatcher: Today’s YouGov verdicts

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Voting intentions: Hardly changed Update: Labour lead at 11 – Latest YouGov/The Sun results 12th April – CON 31%, LAB 42%, LD 12%, UKIP 11%; APP -35 y-g.co/16SdRuO — YouGov (@YouGov) April 14, 2013 Leader ratings: A small boost for EdM EdM sees 5% net increase in his YouGov approval ratings while Cameron sees 1% drop. Dave now – 24, Ed – 25 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 14, 2013 Cameron: Appropriate and dignified 28% say Cameron has tried to…

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The limitations of polling: How Americans responded when asked if a law that didn’t exist should be repealed

The limitations of polling: How Americans responded when asked if a law that didn’t exist should be repealed

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What happened when YouGov asked Americans whether a fictional 1975 Act should be repealed. huff.to/Zcb4dD twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 12, 2013 An experiment by YouGov in the US for HuffPost The above charts are taken from an excellent piece by Mark Blumenthal of Huffington Post on polling about specific issues. When phone samples were asked for their views about the repeal of the 1975 Public Affairs Act, a piece of legislation that doesn’t exist, 20-40% of those questioned…

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