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Category: Polls

Starmer gets the best ratings from both all voters and LAB members in new large sample Ashcroft poll

Starmer gets the best ratings from both all voters and LAB members in new large sample Ashcroft poll

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He’s the only leader or deputy contender in positive territory There’s a new large sample Lord Ashcroft poll that’s been published overnight that looks back at the general election particularly the reasons for the LAB defeat and looks forward to the coming LAB leadership ballot which starts later this month. The full report is well worth downloading. The report also includes the findings of a series of focus groups which are worthy of a separate header in themself. The part…

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The world is becoming even more partisan

The world is becoming even more partisan

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Every so often we see some polling that much like the polling of Tory Party members last summer that saw a majority of Tory members will to countenance the destruction of the United Kingdom as well as significant damage to the economy to ensure their Brexit is delivered makes you go wow. This polling from America which sees 62% of New Hampshire Democratic Party primary voters would prefer a meteor strike to wipe out all human life over Trump winning…

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If you stayed up for the Iowa poll it isn’t going to be released

If you stayed up for the Iowa poll it isn’t going to be released

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The poll isn't going to get released. Des Moines Register CNN cancels release of Iowa Poll over respondent concerns https://t.co/FdCUVys5Hm — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2020 This is from the statement from the paper. The Des Moines Register, CNN and Selzer & Co. have made the decision to not release the final installment of the CNN/Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll as planned this evening. Nothing is more important to the Register and its polling partners than the integrity of the…

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New LAB member polling has them rating Corbyn as their most favourable ever

New LAB member polling has them rating Corbyn as their most favourable ever

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Jeremy Corbyn is the most popular leader of the past century among Labour members (partly because a quarter don’t seem to know who Clement Attlee is) Corbyn 71% favourable viewMiliband 70%Smith 67%Attlee 66%Brown 65%Wilson 62%Blair 37%https://t.co/Zx9bgxPaaj pic.twitter.com/7nB3NIcE2z — YouGov (@YouGov) January 21, 2020 A reminder to LAB members about why so many GE2017 voters defected last month Mike Smithson

Occasionally 52% of voters have impeccable judgment, here’s the proof

Occasionally 52% of voters have impeccable judgment, here’s the proof

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Turns out 52% of the country are wise. https://t.co/Ais2UKHVqr — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 23, 2019 52% of voters are correct is not a sentence I expected to write but here we are. This finding isn’t a surprise, after all the star of the film, Bruce Willis, has himself said Die Hard is definitely not a Christmas film, after all film released in July 1988 can hardly be categorised as a Christmas film can it? TSE

GE2019 – the general election that the pollsters mostly got right

GE2019 – the general election that the pollsters mostly got right

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Wikipedia I don’t want to move on from the general election before just looking back at the performance of the pollsters. This election was important to them following  the disappointing final surveys that we saw in 2015 and 2017 when with one or two notable exceptions the polls were some way off. Note  that national polling for Westminster elections generally takes place on a GB basis with Northern Ireland being excluded. So the comparisons should be made with what happened…

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