You can see more of Marf’s work at LondonSketchbook.com Meanwhile the gap gets closer with ICM ICM – Guardian Apr 11 Apr 9 CONSERVATIVES 37% 38% LABOUR 31% 30% LIB DEMS 20% 21% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4.5% 5.5% Even though the changers are within the margin of error this poll might just cause a few jitters at Cameron Towers for the gap has closed a touch and the party is even further off that 40 point threshold….
Let’s stop the clap-trap about the uniform national swing So much tosh will be talked about the UNS (Uniform National Swing) in the coming weeks that I thought that we ought to feature a reminder of how successful it’s been in the past four election in predicting eventual seat totals from the national vote share numbers. Thanks to Andy Cooke on the previous thread for providing this. In 1992, Labour ourtperformed the UNS (which was about 2%) by 1-2% in…
Does Marf’s cartoon hit the nail on the head? In all the discussion over Labour’s “Gene Hunt” poster everybody seems to have by-passed what the party’s core message ought to be – the need to counter the desire for something different that polling suggests is what getting on for two-thirds of voters want. For as has been said so often there are only two big ideas in election battles – either it is “time for change” or “don’t let the…
It was great to welcome Marf to the London gathering of PBers on Wednesday and I know that one or two of those there took the opportunity to acquire originals or prints of some of the work she has done for the site. They make very timely gifts. She can be contacted via LondonSketchBook.com Mike Smithson
And what are we to make of voodoo polls? Thanks to PB’s cartoonist Marf for her take on last night’s debate and her gentle reminder that the group that really matters are swing voters. So who won and what impact will it have? Beware of the voodoo polls – not only are the samples self-selecting but it’s very easy to multi-vote as I discovered last night after recording my preference in Channel 4’s quickie poll. A message then appeared that…
Welcome back – we’ve missed you It’s been quite a long time since we’ve published anything from Marf – PB’s cartoonist who built up her reputation in Canada and on the Evening Standard. She’s been involved in a major publishing project which is now coming to an end – and I’m hoping that she can apply her acute observations and scathing satire to the political scene in the UK as we go into the election campaign. If anybody wants to…
Will the Lisbon compromise mean the Tories are up or down? It’s welcome back to PB’s cartoonist, Marf, with a new drawing this afternoon neatly linking linking the Tory polling position with all the publicity about the plinth in Trafalgar Square. For the next round of surveys, including the latest exclusive poll for PB from Angus Reid Strategies, might set key pointers to the eventual general election outcome. Will the Cameron switch on the Lisbon referendum, as Labour hopes, lead…
Could the Bullingdon attacks still have potency? In her first Conservative Conference week drawing PB’s cartoonist, Marf, touches on an area of potential vulnerability that Andrew Marr sought to bring up in his BBC1 interview with David Cameron yesterday – the perception that the leadership are “toffs” who who don’t really understand so called “ordinary people”. From some of the rhetoric in Brighton last week we can deduce that Labour is toying with how best to use this aspect of…