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Category: London and local elections

Alastair Meeks on why London is different and why Sadiq Khan should win comfortably

Alastair Meeks on why London is different and why Sadiq Khan should win comfortably

The Grave of Karl Marx via wikimedia commons pic.twitter.com/r6w5UMdXOg — TSE (@TSEofPB) January 16, 2016 London is different.  We often hear that.  But just how different is it?  London’s Mayoral election is due in May.  With no incumbent, we are set for a fight between two rather less charismatic figures than before; neither Zac Goldsmith nor Sadiq Khan yet have the first name recognition or the tabloid quotability of the two previous office-holders.  Default party support is going to be…

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How much should those with 33/1 Sadiq Khan vouchers cover themselves on a Zac victory?

How much should those with 33/1 Sadiq Khan vouchers cover themselves on a Zac victory?

A betting position that’s very nice to be in Back in March 2013 Henry G Manson gave what might prove to be one of the best ever political betting tips here when he said get on Sadiq Khan, then at 33/1, for next London Mayor. At the time other Labour figures were seen as having better chances of being selected as candidate for the next Mayoral election. Henry G, with his great knowledge of how LAB works, thought differently and…

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The 2016 elections do not bode well for Labour

The 2016 elections do not bode well for Labour

Corbyn is set to do worse than Ed Miliband in his first major electoral test. In the Sunday Times (££)  Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher have analysed the 60 local council elections since Jeremy Corbyn became leader. The best way to measure what is happening, however, is to look at the changes in those places where a post-Corbyn by-election reprises a contest previously held on general election day earlier this year. There are 27 such cases where Labour fielded a candidate…

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The 2016 London Mayoral race: Tories open their anti-Sadiq negative campaign

The 2016 London Mayoral race: Tories open their anti-Sadiq negative campaign

The 1st from the anti-Sadiq Khan campaign. The Tories are going to need to do much better than this. pic.twitter.com/TREAAZKSXh — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 8, 2015 At the moment I’m not worried about my 50/1 Sadiq bet Like many PBers I’m on Sadiq Khan for London Mayor at longish odds following the excellent HenryG tip here two and a half years ago. My best price is 50/1 with PaddyPower so I’ve got a reasonably sized financial interest in the…

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London might be a Labour city but it has only won the mayoralty once

London might be a Labour city but it has only won the mayoralty once

Contenders need to be able to reach out beyond their party bases One of the biggest UK political battles and what will certainly be a big political betting event will be next year’s race for the London will between Zac Goldsmith for the Blues and Sadiq Khan for the Reds. This will be the fifth time there’s been such an elections and so far CON has won two, LAB one and independent one. The latter, of course, was Ken in…

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It would be a mistake for Sadiq Khan to attack Zac Goldsmith’s out of touchness

It would be a mistake for Sadiq Khan to attack Zac Goldsmith’s out of touchness

YouGov have published their latest polling on the London Mayoral race, YouGov say What’s remarkable is just how evenly matched [Khan and Goldsmith] are, right down to the different aspects of their personality. Likeable? Its 41%/41%.  Good in a crisis? 26%/27%. Up to the job of Mayor? 38%/39%. There’s only one area where you start to see a major difference – whether the two men are ‘in touch with ordinary people’. 41% think Mr Khan is, compared to only 18%…

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Yes we Khan – Sadiq Khan wins the London Mayoral nomination 59% to 41%

Yes we Khan – Sadiq Khan wins the London Mayoral nomination 59% to 41%

Comprehensive victory for Khan over Jowell. 59% for Khan to Jowell’s 41%. This wasn’t even close. pic.twitter.com/wg3h48AIN5 — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 11, 2015 This should also be great news for Mr Corbyn as Khan won every round, it wasn’t even close I know this will earn me the wrath of Khan and his supporters, but the likely Conservative nominee Zac Goldsmith will be delighted with this as the polling generally shows him beating Khan but not Jowell. But as Dame…

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Tomorrow we might get an indication if Corbynmania is all mouth and no ballots

Tomorrow we might get an indication if Corbynmania is all mouth and no ballots

A victory for Baroness Jowell might give hope to the Anyone But Corbyn movement Assuming no more problems, sometime on Friday Labour will announce who has won the race to be their candidate for London Mayor. It could be that the result of this race could help be a pointer to the Labour leadership result. Lady Jowell as a Blairite should theoretically be the least appealing candidate to the returning left that have so dominated the electorate for these elections. A…

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