Betting on who’ll be Lib Dem leader at general election
PaddyPower odds on who’ll be LD leader at election. If Clegg not there maybe Farron at 7/1?bit.ly/I8PkIO twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 15, 2013
The Nick Clegg successor betting. Vince, the favourite, is surely over-priced?
@msmithsonpb Ed Davey at 8/1 & Jeremy Browne at 33/1 good value. Vince Cable will be 72 at the next election. — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) January 4, 2013
Will this be a successful strategy for the Lib Dems
According to reports, The Liberal Democrats are to attack their Conservative coalition partners in the new year by telling voters they can’t be trusted to look after the interests of normal people and are focused only protecting the very rich. A leaked script of party lines to take in the media urges MPs, candidates and councillors to say that only the Lib Dems are committed to building a fair society. It was distributed by the Lib Dem director of communications, Tim…
Following the voters most likely to switch at the general election – those who went Lib Dem in 2010
Tracking 2010 Lib Dem voters – the ones most likely to move. Chart showing their views of Dave & Ed. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 13, 2012 Today marks the start of a new project on the site – keeping a close eye on those voters most likely to switch at the general election, the 2010 Lib Dems. My intention is to track and highlight relevant polling data for the group because they probably hold the key to the…
CONFIRMED: The LDs are backing a LAB move to kill off the boundary changes until 2018 at the earliest
Ex-Lib Dem CEO, Lord Rennard, backs move to kill off boundary changes until 2018. @paulwaughpolho.me/RqTNK7 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 30, 2012 This has the backing of Nick Clegg? Thanks to Paul Waugh at PoliticsHome for this but a Labour move in the Lords to put the boundary review back to 2018 is being supported by the ex-Chief Executive of the Lib Dems, Lord (Chris) Rennard. Waugh wondered whether Rennard was acting along on this. I’ve just had it…
Tory inactivity on the ground is helping the Lib Dems and Nick Clegg
Striking how many senior LibDems who have the Tories 2nd in their seats say they are not yet seeing any Tory challenge to them on the ground — James Forsyth (@JGForsyth) September 25, 2012 Why’ve the blues taken their foot off the gas? Whenever anybody has talked about leadership challenges at the Brighton LD conference this week the message that you hear is that this would only happen once incumbent MPs start to panic. Given that in the lion’s share…
The Michael Ashcroft polling that should cheer the Lib Dems up
ConHome Sept 26 2011 Although it’s a year old the findings are still valid This post has been put up following a promise I made at the Times/Populus Lib Dem conference fringe meeting yesterday. It relates to Michael Ashcroft polling from September 2011 which was carried out in Tory seats that were vulnerable to Labour and the Lib Dems. There’s has been nothing like it before or since and I’d contend that the general thrust is still valid. The Lib…
Poll blows for Nick Clegg as the party faithful gather in Brighton
Daily Mirror Just 25% of LDs think they’ll do better keeping him A new Survation poll for today’s Daily Mirror, taken partly after Clegg “Sorry” video shows no change for the party, The only movement on the firm’s last poll in the Mail on Sunday a month ago has been a three point increase in the LAB vote at the expense of others. These are the figures: CON 30(nc):LAB 40(+3):LD 10(nc): UKIP 12(nc) The firm almost always reports the biggest…