Your chance to make your prediction How will UKIP’s performance at the General Election compare with the Lib Dems? UKIP will win more MPs and more votes UKIP will win more votes but not more MPs UKIP will win more MPs but not more votes The Lib Dems will win more MPs and more votes
It has been a difficult few years for the Lib Dems and Nick Clegg in particular since they formed the coalition, Electorally, they’ve had three years of successive net loss of councillors in the local elections, finishing seventh and eighth in some by-elections, losing the AV referendum, House of Lords reform foundering, and that’s before we move onto the opinion polls, which has seen the Liberal Democrats consistently polling in single digits/behind UKIP, even with the most recent ICM poll, they slipped into fourth place, seven points…
Yes, you did read that headline correctly, it wasn’t a typo, I am going to discuss whether the Lib Dems can make net gains in parliamentary seats at the 2015 General election, which might seem odd, given the Lib Dems current travails in the polls. Since the start of April, of the 37 polls conducted by YouGov, the Lib Dems have only led UKIP in four of them, averaging 10.4% to UKIP’s 12.8% in that period. In the 16…
Michael Gove’s claims about plots to overthrow Clegg haven’t impacted on the betting.Tim Farron still 5/2 favourite twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 13, 2013 He had a good Reynard-gate and Vote2013 aftermath After Michael Gove’s little mischief yesterday in which he talked of a plot to oust Nick Clegg it is probably a good moment to look at the Lib Dem succession. The electoral process involves the party’s MPs making the nomination but the decision being down to a…
If the circumstances required would they go with the winner on votes or seats? Prior to the last general election, Nick Clegg stated that in the event of a hung parliament, “the party which has got the strongest mandate from the British people will have the first right to seek to govern … the votes of the British people are what should determine what happens afterwards. Whichever party have the strongest mandate from the British people … have the first…
A few days ago, Simon Hughes speaking in the Financial Times, about potential future coalition negotiations in 2015, said “If the time did come for more coalition negotiations, the experience of coalition the first time will be clearly taken on board when we think through what we would do a second time. “The constitutional reform agenda and particularly reform of the Lords would have to be a part of the package.†Now a hung parliament is a possibility, especially if the polls continue to narrow…
Paul Goodman & Mike Smithson slug it out on Twitter The @paulgoodmanch call for the Tories to end coalition in Sept 2014. goo.gl/1X8bz twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 3, 2013 @msmithsonpb Suppose neither of us will be around to see the play in 2053 – about the shambles of the Coalition’s last 6 months… — Paul Goodman (@PaulGoodmanCH) April 3, 2013 @msmithsonpb In both party’s interests to end Coalition before April 2015 – and not in Miliband’s to accept…
Cracking result in Runnymead DC, Chris Browne of @ukip pick up Foxhills District Council seat, by 18 votes overturning a 23% Tory Majority — Gawain Towler (@GawainTowler) March 15, 2013 #LibDem destroy a 1000 Tory majority to take the #Arun district Aldwick east seat in today’s by election for the first time @libdemnews — Cllr. Jamie Bennett (@JamieBen120689) March 15, 2013 Could May’s county elections could be a bloodbath? After yesterday’s dreadful national polls for the Conservatives there’s news overnight…