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Category: Labour

Are these numbers the killer for Mr. Brown?

Are these numbers the killer for Mr. Brown?

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Ipsos-MORI Is survival from this position nigh on impossible? One of my best Christmas presents was a personal copy of the invaluable reference source – David Butler’s Twentieth-century British Political Facts, 1900-2000. This contains polling data going back every month to February 1945 – and until now I’ve had to go to the library to look this up. As well as the outcomes of voting intention question the book also lists the PM and opposition leaders’ approval ratings which have…

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Could fox-hunting be the winning formula for Labour?

Could fox-hunting be the winning formula for Labour?

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Is it more ammunition for the class war strategy? According to ConHome, at the time of July’s Norwich North by election the above was an official Labour flyer used in the failed defence of that seat. The approach was also used in the Eddisbury by election in 1999 when the climate was much more clement for NuLab. Well according to the Indy this morning there are, indeed, Labour plans to make an apparent commitment by David Cameron to repeal the…

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Did Straw make a last-ditch effort to stop Blair?

Did Straw make a last-ditch effort to stop Blair?

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Guardian Is this going to keep Iraq in the news? The main story in the Guardian is about a private letter that the then Foreign Secretary, Jack Straw, wrote to the Tony Blair just before the invasion of Iraq suggesting, amongst other things, that Britain should offer the Americans “political and moral support” in their campaign against Saddam Hussein, but not military backing. According to the paper Straw “reportedly urged Blair to tell George Bush that British troops would help…

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This must be the political interview of the year?

This must be the political interview of the year?

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Listen to the John Hutton interview Is this a foretaste of what’s to come? If you have not caught up yet with the John Hutton interview on this evening’s PM programme then listen to to it now. The headline story of Hutton’s admission to being the cabinet members expressing serious doubts about Gordon Brown in September 2006 is only part of it – although the way that comes out in the discourse is of itself quite dramatic. Eddie Mair’s quiet…

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What’s this going to do to the campaign?

What’s this going to do to the campaign?

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SkyNews Why’s Cameron taking such a gamble? So now we have it. British election campaigns are never going to be the same again. For the long push by the broadcasters to get live TV debates between the three main leaders seems to have succeeded. ITV will host the first chaired by Alistair Stewart; Sky has the second with Adam Boulton while the final one will be a BBC affair with David Dimbleby in the che chair. Each programme will last…

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Was it the the PBR that changed the climate?

Was it the the PBR that changed the climate?

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Newspaper front pages December 10 Is the Bob Worcester analysis on the nail? Sir Robert Worcester, founder of MORI, posted this on the overnight thread. “What’s going on, the polls seem all over the place? One says a lead of 6 and another a lead of 17. ” I’ve been hearing that for many a year. So what is going on? Part of the answer is ‘events, dear boy, events” And the Pre-Budget Review (PRB) was not just an event…

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Is the “30pc or more” the bet for “swing-back” believers

Is the “30pc or more” the bet for “swing-back” believers

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PaddyPower Should you be piling on at 13/8? Given recent polls and the widespread belief that government’s always recover as we get closer to the election date then the 30% plus segment in PaddyPower’s Labour percentage vote market seems an absolute snip. The 13/8 is a pretty good price given that all you are betting is that the final vote percentage is above that. Note, and we will be repeating this a lot in the coming weeks and months, this…

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Will the old firm be fighting it out in 2012?

Will the old firm be fighting it out in 2012?

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Could Ken be Labour candidate once again? What are we to make of the stream of little reports that suggest that Ken Livingston might be manoeuvring to be Labour’s candidate for the London mayoralty in 2012? The Standard’s Paul Waugh has blogged about Labour’s decision to appoint one of Ken’s key aides to the big post of running the party’s London campaigns and wondered whether a return might be in the offing. So should you be risking your money on…

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