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Category: Labour

The perceptions on the Tories and Labour

The perceptions on the Tories and Labour

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YouGov have published some polling, conducted within the last week on which groups the voters identify the Tory Party and the Labour Party with. The findings aren’t that surprising. The Tories are perceived to be really close to the rich, businessmen/The City, and voters in the south. Whilst Labour are seen as being really close to trade unions, the working class, and benefit claimants. The most interesting finding from this polling was that the Tories are seen as being not…

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Why the Tories could be being complacent over Jeremy Corbyn

Why the Tories could be being complacent over Jeremy Corbyn

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Via @montie More bad polling comparisons for Osborne. Look how far he's behind Corbyn pic.twitter.com/eXP1DSSqyT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) April 14, 2016 Alastair Meeks says predicting GE2020 is harder than the blues think Much comment has been passed this week on David Cameron’s falling ratings.  He now ranks behind Jeremy Corbyn on favourability ratings with YouGov.  “How low he has sunk” is the usual comment, and it is true. But as the table above shows, this is not a problem…

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The disintegrating establishment

The disintegrating establishment

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In 2010, Britain was being wrestled over by two parties competing to portray themselves to the public as the natural party of government.  In his first conference speech, David Cameron returned repeatedly to the theme of “substance”.  He told his party: “Real substance is about taking time to think things through, not trotting out easy answers that people might want to hear.  It’s about sticking to your guns.  It’s about character, judgement, and consistency.  It’s about policy, yes.  But it’s…

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Assessing the mood amongst Labour pragmatists

Assessing the mood amongst Labour pragmatists

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Ex-MP Nick Palmer on a non-Corbynite Labour focus group For friendship and nostalgia, I had a dinner last week with 14 veteran campaigners who have mostly been with me in every campaign since 1997. Coincidentally or not, I think I was the only one at the table who had voted for Jeremy Corbyn. The others are pragmatic Labour campaigners who fight every election to win, and turned a safe Tory seat in 1992 (16% margin) into a perpetual marginal. They’d voted…

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Why Labour has its concerns about the Tory turmoil

Why Labour has its concerns about the Tory turmoil

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Donald Brind says a big REMAIN victory remains the objective They do things different in Battersea. The local Labour party invited along the Shadow Foreign Secretary Hilary Benn for a fundraising fish and chip supper to launch the formal start of the London election campaign. Then they promptly turned the lights out. The environmentally savvy Battersea Labourites were taking part in Earth Hour a an international initiative that encourages “individuals, communities households and businesses to turn off their non-essential lights for…

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The blue on blue fight is making the EURef seem like an all-CON affair and that could impact on turnout

The blue on blue fight is making the EURef seem like an all-CON affair and that could impact on turnout

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Donald Brind on the turnout worries within the Labour IN Campaign Senior women in the Labour party are becoming increasingly concerned that the EU referendum could be lost because women stay away from the polls on June 23rd. They see a campaign dominated by male voices and polluted by noise from the increasingly vicious Blue on Blue attacks. Labour pro-Europeans fear the arcane battle within the Tory tribe will depress interest in the campaign among Labour voters and especially among…

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The detailed data that suggests that Corbyn’s own generation, those of 65+, appear to have given up on Labour

The detailed data that suggests that Corbyn’s own generation, those of 65+, appear to have given up on Labour

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Amongst Corbyn's own age group, those of 65+, just 11% tell ComRes they have favourable view of LAB leader, 71% say unfavourable — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 14, 2016 Pensioners are the fastest growing age group The figures above speak for themselves. They are based on a subsample of 471 which gives us a greater level of confidence. Those within this segment are more likely to be on the register and much more likely to vote. Mike Smithson Follow @MSmithsonPB…

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Corbyn drops to his lowest level yet amongst those who voted LAB last May

Corbyn drops to his lowest level yet amongst those who voted LAB last May

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More numbers, no doubt, for Corbynistas to remain in denial about Every month for more than 40 years the pollster Ipsos MORI has carried out leader ratings. The question format has been the same simply asking people whether they are satisfied or dissatisfied with the performance of the leaders. As I’ve argued and shown these ratings have proved to be a better indicator of General Election outcomes than standard voting intentions. If we’d have followed these at GE1992 and GE2015…

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