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Category: Labour

Where’ve the opinion poll protestors been since 1992?

Where’ve the opinion poll protestors been since 1992?

Neil Kinnock: Sheffield Rally: 1992 General Election Labour bias +6.5% IGNORE; UKIP bias +4.9% PROTEST For nearly a decade and a half the opinion polls have had, when tested against real General Election results, an average pro-Labour bias of 6.5% and there’s been hardly a whisper from Labour MPs. The bias led to political gamblers making huge errors and losses at the 1992 General Election in which Neil Kinnock, above, made what amounted to a pre-election victory speech a few…

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Labour leadership price wobble after Blair health scare

Labour leadership price wobble after Blair health scare

The price on Tony Blair being Labour leader at the General election dropped nearly a third in the aftermath of yesterday’s press conference when he appeared to look unwell. Prior to yesterday the Blair price had been trading at about 1.6. In the immediate period afterwards it went to touch 1.8 and has now settled down at about 1.68. For those not familiar with this form of pricing it means that if you had £100 at 1.6 you would receive…

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Was the postal voting experiment a Labour own goal?

Was the postal voting experiment a Labour own goal?

NOTE: Post updated 0815 Sunday In an astute comment last weekend the Independent on Sunday political columnist, Alan Watkins, had this to say about postal voting:- What is surprising is that the venture was embarked on at all. For the wisdom of the wise in Labour circles was always that postal voting benefited the Conservatives and the Liberals, as they were then named. That was because they were not only more conscientious naturally but more accustomed to dealing with envelopes…

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It’s not the local elections that could mark the end for Blair

It’s not the local elections that could mark the end for Blair

If Tony Blair is to be forced from office by the result of an election then the one that takes place in the US on November 2 is likely to have a bigger impact than coming third behind the Lib Dems in this year’s local polls. Certainly Thursday’s drubbing will provide further fuel for those in the Labour party who want him out. And, of course, there have been the rumours for months that at the famous Admiralty Arch dinner…

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Tony Blair – the Politician Supreme

Tony Blair – the Politician Supreme

What Tony Blair has done to try to fix tomorrow Whatever your personal politics you have to admire the amazing political skills of Tony Blair. Just look at what he’s done to deal with the projected disaster that for at least two years people were predicting for him in the 2004 Euro Election. Will this pay off? We’ve not long to wait to find out and start working out the impact on the General Election, General Election date, Labour Leadership…

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Biking Boris Boosts Blair Backers

Biking Boris Boosts Blair Backers

Those political gamblers who have been backing Tony Blair to stay as Labour leader and Prime Minister have been given a boost by Boris Johnson’s report of the conversation he had in the Mall on his bike with fellow cyclist, Jonathan Powell – Tony Blair’s Chief of Staff. Asked by Johnson – the Spectator Editor and Tory MP – about relations between No 10 and the Treasury, Mr Powell is reported to have said: “It’s a Shakespearean tragedy. Gordon Brown…

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Labour’s back in the black..

Labour’s back in the black..

But will they lose Leicester South and if so – who to? After a few uncomfortable weeks when the spread betting gamblers on the Commons seat market had put Labour at below the level where they would have a Commons majority the latest spreads have the party comfortably above the 324 seat target – which gives them an absolute majority. Labour 325-335 Conservative 245-255 LIBd 52-57 This is in response to the pre-Euro Election opinion polls showing increased support for…

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Does postal voting have a more secure future than Kennedy or Blair?

Does postal voting have a more secure future than Kennedy or Blair?

. The Chief Executive and campaign guru of the Lib Dems, Lord Chris Rennard, has done a brilliant job attacking the postal voting experiment and not just over printing problems, the prospect of sealed letter boxes because of industrial action and fraud. He has rightly pointed out the constitutional implications of the Government ignoring the Electoral Commission’s ruling on the scale of the experiment. But will Lord Rennard’s first action after the Euro Election not be on the postal voting…

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