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Category: Labour leadership

The LAB leadership: Liz Kendall is taking the lion’s share of those MPs who voted for David Miliband in 2010

The LAB leadership: Liz Kendall is taking the lion’s share of those MPs who voted for David Miliband in 2010

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A pointer to the the ballot? As we all know back in the 2010 Labour leadership contest Ed’s elder brother, David, was the front runner and chalked up biggish leads with both Labour MPs and the party membership. With the contest for LAB MP nominations now in full flght LabourList is keeping an updated list of current MP declarations and, very helpfully, is showing which candidate those who were MPs then voted for in the September 2010 contest. The breakdown…

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As nominations open tonight’s key numbers in the LAB leadership race

As nominations open tonight’s key numbers in the LAB leadership race

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https://twitter.com/election_data/status/608327284559376385 More than 80 LAB MPs have still to decide All three front runners for the LAB leadership – Burnham/Kendal/Cooper have seen increases in their MP nomination totals. The other two – Corbyn/Creagh – have seen no change and they are still a very long way off the 35 that’s required. There are, however, more than 80 LAB MPs who have yet to attach their names to a contender so theoretically at least both theorectically at least, could reach the…

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Leadership polling 8 weeks before the ballots go out can be misleading

Leadership polling 8 weeks before the ballots go out can be misleading

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This from the last CON contest in 2005 At this stage even with members it’s about name recognition The above chart is from a YouGov poll of Conservative party members which was carried out by YouGov in early September 2005 and published on September 10th. The timing is almost an exact parallel with the current LAB fight – about 8 weeks before the issuing of postal ballot forms. All the parties have totally different ways of doing this and in…

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The LAB leadership: A three, a four or a five horse race?

The LAB leadership: A three, a four or a five horse race?

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Bunham & Cooper have 35+ MP endorsements: Kendall 3 to go We are now just a day away from the first formal stage in the race to be EdM’s successor. MP nominations open tomorrow and those wanting to be on the ballot have until next Monday to garner the support of 35 LAB MPs to ensure that they are on the ballot. From the News Statesman figures above Cooper and Burnham have clearly crossed the line with Kendall just three…

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Henry G Manson’s LAB leadership view remains: Yvette Cooper is the value bet

Henry G Manson’s LAB leadership view remains: Yvette Cooper is the value bet

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The mystery is why Burnham is odds on “It’s Andy’s to lose, right?” The bookmakers have Andy Burnham odds on to be the next Labour leader but I’m just not convinced. To be fair to Andy his campaign is considerably better than in 2010 and he has an impressive array of support from across the party. But despite getting most MP nominations so far and topping the Labourlist survey there are at least three good reasons why he might well…

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If indeed nearly half of all LAB members live in London that doesn’t bode well for Andy Burnham

If indeed nearly half of all LAB members live in London that doesn’t bode well for Andy Burnham

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What an amazing stat – 48% of Labour Party members are from London. No wonder this party doesn't understand Britain. — Patrick O'Flynn (@oflynnsocial) September 23, 2014 He could be struggling where it matters most Last September UKIP was making great play of the London dominance of LAB by asserting that 48% of the party’s members lived there. Whether that’s accurate or not or whether it still holds good is hard to day but there’s little doubt that the red…

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Now a fifth contender, Jeremy Corbyn, declares that he’s running for LAB leader

Now a fifth contender, Jeremy Corbyn, declares that he’s running for LAB leader

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Veteran left wing LAB MP Jeremy Corbyn enters the leadership racehttp://t.co/d1b3i9DGEn pic.twitter.com/YaEIDDVEGK — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) June 3, 2015 Says the other candidates are too right-wing Corbyn is going to have to get his skates on because nominations close a week on Monday and he’ll need 35 fellow MPs to support him just to get on the ballot. Of the other 4 contenders he told the Mirror ““They are not offering a clear enough alternative on the economic strategy and…

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The LAB leadership race: Burnham appears in commanding position in the betting & MP declarations

The LAB leadership race: Burnham appears in commanding position in the betting & MP declarations

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Just six days to go before nominations open Not long now before the formal process for electing Labour’s next leader kicks into place. To appear on the ballot a contender has to have nominations from 35 fellow MPs and, as the chart shows, just Shadow Health Secretary, Andy Burnham, has managed to get more than that number to declare for him. In the betting he’s seen as being in strong position and on Betfair he’s now an odds-on chance. Meanwhile…

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