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Category: Labour leadership

“Private poll” seen by Mirror sees Corbyn with 22% lead on first prefs with Cooper pipping Burnham for 2nd place

“Private poll” seen by Mirror sees Corbyn with 22% lead on first prefs with Cooper pipping Burnham for 2nd place

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The private poll seen by Mirror with Corbyn 22% ahead & Cooper in 2nd place. http://t.co/b3wbQFQhtI pic.twitter.com/bSMovl8nhP — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 28, 2015 It’s hard to comment on private polling and I’ve no idea about the veracity of it. But I don’t think that the Mirror would be flagging it in the way it is without it having some confidence about the source. The Corbyn lead is extraordinary and fits in with other indicators. The question is which of…

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ORB/Indy poll finds that 76% think that LAB less electable now than it was on May 7th

ORB/Indy poll finds that 76% think that LAB less electable now than it was on May 7th

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The front page of tomorrow's I pic.twitter.com/2fkFD2SRqT — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) July 27, 2015 But does this poll really tell us anything? An ORB poll for the Independent carried out over the weekend finds that 76% of those who had a view believe that LAB is less electable now than it was at the general election. We’ve not yet seen the dataset or the precise question wording but the overall picture looks gloomy for the red team and sets out…

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Why we won’t be hearing much from the Tories this summer

Why we won’t be hearing much from the Tories this summer

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The Tories Are Staying Off TV So Everyone Watches Labour Tear Itself Apart: http://t.co/AZhXnbt9eV pic.twitter.com/23BfY8ZdKy — BuzzFeed News UK (@BuzzFeedNewsUK) July 27, 2015 Notice there’s been nothing from the blue side re-Mid Staffs Probably the most successful Lynton Crosby message in the run-up to May 7th was the warning of “confusion and chaos” if Labour was returned. It was this, I’d suggest that helped get the marginal CON supporters out to vote and UKIP switchers back into the fold in…

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Murder on the dancefloor?

Murder on the dancefloor?

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The 60-something candidate, initially priced at 100/1 by Ladbrokes, suddenly looks like he might actually win. The public seem to have had enough of the over-coached younger generation and his price tumbles to single figures, but the establishment judges warn that he is making a mockery of the contest. I speak, of course, of the 2008 series of Strictly Come Dancing. John Sergeant saw off the likes of Gary Rhodes and Cherie Lunghi but then bowed out, saying: “As time…

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The LAB leadership betting moves back to the boys

The LAB leadership betting moves back to the boys

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40 years after the Tories chose a women LAB looks set to stick with men It seems the Sunday Times story reported on by TSE in the last thread has prompted a move to Corbyn and Burnham on Betfair who now occupy the two top favourite slots. The prices on the two women, meanwhile, move out. When I get my ballot in three weeks time I’ll put the women top and the men bottom who in my judgement are far…

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Just when you thought the Lab leadership contest couldn’t get any more exciting

Just when you thought the Lab leadership contest couldn’t get any more exciting

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The Sunday Times front page on the plot by the hard left to infiltrate the Labour leadership race via @hendopolis pic.twitter.com/Avlm6SrzEo — TSE (@TSEofPB) July 25, 2015 The next Labour leader might have to keep the Blairites and Communists happy, that might not be possible. The major news overnight was the Sunday Times story on calls to Harriet Harman to suspend the Labour leadership election because of hard left infiltration, see the tweet above. I suspect the election isn’t going…

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David Herdson on “Miliband’s leadership landmine”

David Herdson on “Miliband’s leadership landmine”

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Whoever wins is likely to be there for the duration There’s something in Ed Miliband of the apocryphal academic who when presented with a result he disapproved of, stated “it might well work in practice but it doesn’t work in theory”. More than once, proposals that Ed Miliband advanced had the look and feel of dealing with the world in abstract rather than the messy and contradictory one we live in. The reforms he initiated to Labour’s leadership process are…

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