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Category: Labour leadership

Support for Corbyn is weakening among Labour members. Don’t assume a Corbynite replaces him.

Support for Corbyn is weakening among Labour members. Don’t assume a Corbynite replaces him.

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Corbyn is safe for now argues Keiran Pedley but with his popularity among Labour members falling and Brexit on the horizon he is unlikely to lead Labour into a General Election. Those of you watching Peston yesterday will know that YouGov has a new poll of Labour members out courtesy of Ian Warren of Election Data. 1,096 Labour members were interviewed last week (27 Feb – 3 Mar) and here are some of the key numbers. The first notable data…

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POLL ALERT: Labour has a ‘Corbyn problem’ and it’s not going away

POLL ALERT: Labour has a ‘Corbyn problem’ and it’s not going away

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Two-thirds of voters think he’s the wrong person to lead Labour into a General Election A new Polling Matters / Opinium survey, taken before the Copeland and Stoke by-elections, shows that voters think Corbyn is the wrong person to lead Labour into a General Election, with those considering voting Labour more likely to do so if he is replaced. Keiran Pedley explains. In the latest of a series of surveys for the Polling Matters podcast, Opinium asked three questions of…

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How Labour fights back; or dies

How Labour fights back; or dies

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Embed from Getty Images   Labour probably has one last chance to return to relevancy, writes Joff Wild. Who members choose as the party’s next leader will make or break it. The death of social democracy in Europe, it turns out, has been greatly exaggerated. A look at opinion polls in three of the continent’s four G8 economies shows that the centre-left is competitive and could be governing by the end of the year. That the Democrat party in Italy,…

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Hilary Benn. The Peacemaker who should be the next Labour leader

Hilary Benn. The Peacemaker who should be the next Labour leader

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Embed from Getty Images Leadership talk is in the air. Names are tossed into the ring, trampled on and tossed out again. I have a simple view. When you look at the enormous task of transforming Labour’s fortunes there is only one name worth considering. So: sorry Yvette, Lisa, Angela, Liz, Seema, Chuka, Keir, Clive, Dan. I love you all and admire your various talents. But Hilary Benn is the only person capable of dragging Labour back into electoral contention….

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Corbyn is going nowhere – for now

Corbyn is going nowhere – for now

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Next year, not this, is the best bet for a change of Labour leader, argues Joff Wild The good news for Jeremy Corbyn is that he is not the most unpopular politician in the UK. The bad news is that the two men who beat him to top spot are Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. With the Labour leader being kept out of view from voters in Stoke and featuring prominently on Tory campaign literature in Copeland, and the party’s…

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As the Labour Party’s private research is leaked, there appears to be an inevitability about Corbyn departing before the general election

As the Labour Party’s private research is leaked, there appears to be an inevitability about Corbyn departing before the general election

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Blistering good story by @STJamesl. So BMG focus grouped, Rebecca Bailey-Long, Angela Raynor, and John McDonnell. https://t.co/n6Mf5eEwtr — TSE (@TSEofPB) February 12, 2017 It feels like it is now a question of when Corbyn quits before the next general election, not if. The Sunday Times have a copy of the Labour party’s internal research conducted by their pollsters BMG, it appears there is some succession planning taking place by Corbyn, with a focus group being undertaken on his potential preferred…

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The music stops. Who would grab the chair if Jeremy Corbyn steps down?

The music stops. Who would grab the chair if Jeremy Corbyn steps down?

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Embed from Getty Images Alastair Meeks on the next Labour leader betting market From the start of his leadership of the Labour party, many Labour MPs struggled to contain their doubts about him.  Even before Jeremy Corbyn was elected leader, Mike Gapes was quoted as saying: “I’ll show him as much loyalty as he showed other leaders.”  Within three months, nearly a third of his party including his own shadow Foreign Secretary were in mutiny against his preferred line on…

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Reports that Corbyn “has fixed his exit date” sets off betting rush on when he’ll go and who’ll replace him

Reports that Corbyn “has fixed his exit date” sets off betting rush on when he’ll go and who’ll replace him

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Overnight there has been a bit of a betting flurry following reports that Corbyn has shared with close colleagues his planned date to leave the LAB leadership. William Hill say they’ve been forced to take evasive action by slashing their odds for Jeremy Corbyn to cease to be Labour leader during 2017, after a rush of bets for him saw the odds slashed from 2/1 (33% chance) to even money (50%). This suggests that he is going before the next…

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