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As the national polls show LAB’s plight getting worse party members remain very loyal to their new leader

As the national polls show LAB’s plight getting worse party members remain very loyal to their new leader

The key points from tonight's Times YouGov poll of LAB members & leadership voters pic.twitter.com/2htYOGi2uA — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 23, 2015 How the Times is covering its LAB members poll pic.twitter.com/1NL6rVOWl3 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 23, 2015 It’s hard to see how at this stage Corbyn can be ousted

The Great Corbyn leader rating divide

The Great Corbyn leader rating divide

How GE15 CON voters react differently depending on the question format With question marks still hanging over voting intention polling there’s been a lot more focus on leader ratings which seemed to have performed far better as voting indicators at GE2015. But here’s a thing. Over the past five days we’ve seen three completely different pictures of how Mr Corbyn is doing from three of the UK’s leading pollsters. Just look at the chart above. With Ipsos-MORI things are not…

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CON leads moves to 15% with ComRes online while Corbyn sees 10% drop in his favourability ratings

CON leads moves to 15% with ComRes online while Corbyn sees 10% drop in his favourability ratings

VOTING INTENTION Con 42% (NC) Lab 27% (-2) LD 7% (NC) UKIP 15% (+2) Green 3% (NC) SNP 5% (NC) Other 1% (NC) And Osbo’s leadership hopes take another blow The ComRes leader ratings paint a very different picture from that which we saw from Ipsos earlier in the week. This is down to the question. ComRes ask favourability questions while the Ipsos-MORI rating relates to leader satisfaction. The latter found 28% of 2015 CON voters saying they are satisfied…

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Leader of the Opposition is the toughest job in British politics. If Jeremy didn’t know it before, he knows it now.

Leader of the Opposition is the toughest job in British politics. If Jeremy didn’t know it before, he knows it now.

From a LAB perspective: Donald Brind’s weekly column The Bishop of Chichester George Bell was celebrated in a BBC Radio Great Lives programme a couple of years ago for a wartime speech in the House of Lords condemning the bombing of German civilians. Bell was no pacifist but he argued that “ to justify methods inhumane in themselves by arguments of expediency smacks of the Nazi philosophy that Might is Right.“ The speech was made in February 1944, months before Allied boots…

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The return of Marf and tonight’s local by-election review by Harry Hayfield

The return of Marf and tonight’s local by-election review by Harry Hayfield

Welcome back Marf Watton (UKIP defence) and South Smallburgh (Lib Dem defence) on Norfolk Result of council at last election (2013): Conservative 40, United Kingdom Independence Party 15, Labour 14, Liberal Democrats 10, Green Party 4, Independent 1 (No Overall Control, Conservatives short by 3) Result of ward at last election (2013): Watton: United Kingdom Independence Party 808 (34%), Conservative 662 (27%), Independent 569 (24%), Labour 270 (11%), Green Party 102 (4%) Candidates duly nominated: Timothy Birt (Green), Claire Bowes…

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The battles between Corbyn and his MPs are not going to go away

The battles between Corbyn and his MPs are not going to go away

“…the question of deselection, be it of Jeremy Corbyn or of recalcitrant MPs, will persist. True unity will not be achieved until the PLP reflects the leader, or the leader reflects the PLP. “It’s pretty nasty. This is not the fraternal Labour Party I know,” Ian Lavery, a Corbyn supporter, told me. The continuation of “internal warfare”, he warned, would lead to “unmitigated disaster”.- George Eaton New Statesman So far it’s not been a good week for Mr Corbyn. Clearly…

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Corbyn slumps to new YouGov leader ratings low while latest Survation #EUREF polling has REMAIN back in the lead

Corbyn slumps to new YouGov leader ratings low while latest Survation #EUREF polling has REMAIN back in the lead

Even EdM had net positives at this stage It used to be that YouGov published its well/badly party leader ratings on a weekly basis. Now in this post-GE2015 polling disaster era we only get them once a month. The latest, for November, is just out for the Times and the figures continue to decline for Mr. Corbyn. Of those polled 52% said he was doing badly with 30% saying well. To put that into context on November 19th 2010 Ed…

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