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Category: Corbyn

Keiran Pedley says Corbyn is here to stay and Labour’s moderates have some thinking to do

Keiran Pedley says Corbyn is here to stay and Labour’s moderates have some thinking to do

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After a bruising week, Jeremy Corbyn has emerged stronger than ever writes Keiran Pedley leaving Labour’s moderates with plenty to think about. Every now and then a week comes along in British politics that is genuinely important and shapes what is to come. Last week was one of them. All of the ingredients pointed to a disaster for Jeremy Corbyn. From allegations that the leadership was ‘bullying’ MPs with farcical ‘consultations’ to a divisive Syria vote and THAT Hilary Benn…

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CSI Oldham: The by-election autopsy

CSI Oldham: The by-election autopsy

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Alastair Meeks reviews the Oldham West and Royton by election After any betting event, successful or unsuccessful, it is important to take stock of what went wrong and what went right.  This is especially important when expectations were completely upended, as happened on Thursday night in the Oldham West & Royton by-election. What happened? Contrary to all prior expectations, Labour not only won comfortably, it increased its share of the vote.  This should not have been a surprise.  As I…

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The date of the next Labour leadership election betting

The date of the next Labour leadership election betting

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Paddy Power have a market up on the date of the next Labour leadership election. I quite like this market because most of the other markets on the Labour leadership are about when Jeremy Corbyn ceases to be Labour leader, this market allows for an unsuccessful attempt to remove to Corbyn. I initially started writing this piece on Friday morning and was going to suggest that 2019 might be value, as a year before a general election might focus minds,…

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Oldham has firmed up the chances of a Labocalypse

Oldham has firmed up the chances of a Labocalypse

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Corbyn is now safe for months It’s been an up-and-down week for Labour. Rows, splits, mishandled Autumn Budget replies – all forgotten in one swift and decisive victory. Except that’s not true: they’ve not been forgotten and although Labour’s right has gained a new MP, tilting the PLP even further away from the leadership, it’s the left of the party that’s gained the strategic victory. Most obviously but also most transiently, the news narrative has turned positive for Labour and…

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Echoes of History: Hilary Benn and Michael Foot

Echoes of History: Hilary Benn and Michael Foot

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Echoes of history. Donald Brind compares Hilary Benn’s speech on Syrian air strikes to Michael Foot’s on the Falklands. How to draw the sting from Hilary Benn’s brilliant wind-up speech in the Commons debate on Syria air strikes? That was the problem facing Labour and SNP opponents of the military action who were on the wrong end of the 179 majority. They set out to kill it with comparisons. For Labour, the shadow chancellor John McDonnell said it reminded him of…

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Labour win the Oldham West and Royton by election with an increased share of the vote

Labour win the Oldham West and Royton by election with an increased share of the vote

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LAB 62.2% (+7.5)UKIP 23.3 % (+2.7) CON 9.3% (-9.6) LD 3.7% (+0.0) GR 0.9% (-1.0) MRLP 0.5% (+0.5) via @britainelects pic.twitter.com/1nTrPjwFZC — TSE (@TSEofPB) December 4, 2015 Corbyn has done better than Cameron did in his first by election that he defended as leader. This is the result that wasn’t forecast, perhaps Jeremy Corbyn isn’t the voter repellent that the polling and the commentariat implies. Speaking this evening John Curtice has just said we expect the major opposition parties do…

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On by-election day there’s a new favourite in the race for next Labour leader – Hilary Benn

On by-election day there’s a new favourite in the race for next Labour leader – Hilary Benn

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A speech that could have great significance Of all the speeches in the long commons debate yesterday one stands out – the winding up in a packed chamber by “Wedgie-Benn’s son”, Hilary, who is now Labour’s shadow foreign secretary. If you didn’t see it the little clip above is quite extraordinary with Benn getting huge applause from across the chamber. What’s striking is that throughout his leader, Mr, Corbyn, was sitting alongside and he, of course, has a totally different…

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Corbyn’s leader rating with YouGov drops to a calamitous minus 41% (Updated with YouGov chart)

Corbyn’s leader rating with YouGov drops to a calamitous minus 41% (Updated with YouGov chart)

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YouGov chart showing trend in its Well/badly ratings for Corbyn and Cameron. pic.twitter.com/nSkFejGT7c — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2015 Corbyn's YouGov well/badly ratings drops to new low. Just 24% saying he is doing well and 65% badly. Amongst GE2015 LAB voters he's a net -6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2015 Corbyn's record YouGov well/badly rating of -41% compares with the -6% in September just after he won the leadership — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 1, 2015 CON…

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