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Category: Corbyn

The deal splits the Tories whilst a referendum would split LAB as well

The deal splits the Tories whilst a referendum would split LAB as well

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One of the arguments that pro-second referendum Tory MPs are using at the moment is that the Brexit deal basically splits the Tories and Labour gets off scot free in spite of its equivocation and huge policy differences. So it is being said that if there was a referendum then it would split Labour as well. For Corbyn’s equivocation on Brexit and the referendum has really cost the party almost nothing so far and indeed the polling finds that those…

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As the Brexit “deal” reaches another critical week the public are still totally split

As the Brexit “deal” reaches another critical week the public are still totally split

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What is Corbyn’s LAB going to do? With things apparently coming to the head with the EU withdrawal negotiations the above shows the latest YouGov tracker on how voters think broken down into what they did at the referendum and their current voting intention. This is the first time for months that this has been published on PB partly because the numbers almost never change or only very by very small amounts. As can be seen the main figure continues…

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Alastair Meeks reviews the next Labour leader betting

Alastair Meeks reviews the next Labour leader betting

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  Whenever I want something sensational to read, I look at my Betfair account.  It’s not always sensationally good, but there’s always something to consider.  The markets I usually end up checking out are the long term ones: next Prime Minister, next Conservative leader and next Labour leader in particular.  These three markets have much in common and indeed overlap heavily: the next Prime Minister is likely to be one of Jeremy Corbyn, the next Conservative leader and the next…

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In October 2017 LAB had an average poll lead of 2.4% – this October Corbyn’s party is 3% behind

In October 2017 LAB had an average poll lead of 2.4% – this October Corbyn’s party is 3% behind

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The polls turned in March which coincided with Corbyn’s response to Salisbury and antisemitism becoming a big issue October 2018 voting intention polls October 2017  voting intention polls Survation’s chart shows the timing of the switch   The Survation chart shows the LAB-CON splits in its Westminster voting intention polling since GE2017 when, of course, the firm was the most accurate pollster. Since then it has generally been recording the best figures for Labour and at times, like at the…

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LAB would struggle to win a snap election with 50% of GE2017 LAB voters not rating Corbyn as “best PM”

LAB would struggle to win a snap election with 50% of GE2017 LAB voters not rating Corbyn as “best PM”

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His 50% LAB voter rating compares with 80% of GE2017 Tories for May While all the focus this week has been on TMay’s chances of survival the PM and her party can take comfort in the latest “Best PM” ratings from YouGov in which those polled are given just two options – her and Corbyn. In recent weeks TMay has been regaining her position and is now up from a low of 31% overall naming her to 38%. Corbyn is…

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Corbyn’s gift to the Tories and Mrs May – his boycott of the House of Lords

Corbyn’s gift to the Tories and Mrs May – his boycott of the House of Lords

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The balance in the Upper House has silently trended towards the blues Jeremy Corbyn doesn’t like the House of Lords and as with many things he doesn’t like, he’s gone out of his way to avoid engaging with it. When he was first running for the Labour leadership, he promised that he wouldn’t nominate any new Labour peers. That was understandable for someone who has long opposed the nature of the undemocratic upper House, and for someone who’s always believed…

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It looks as though TMay won’t be the only main party leader facing a Brexit rebellion. Corbyn’s has one as well

It looks as though TMay won’t be the only main party leader facing a Brexit rebellion. Corbyn’s has one as well

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This could be big. Indy reporting that some LAB MPs reveal they are ready to rescue TMay's Brexit deal in Commons vote. https://t.co/KYC0d9fiks — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 13, 2018 The Indy report names some LAB MPs: “Labour MPs told The Independent that at least 15 could rebel against Mr Corbyn and back the government, which could be enough to tip the balance in the Commons in favour of the deal. Hammond claims Brexit deal would deliver ‘economic bonus’ One…

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The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB MPs don’t like the idea either

The real weakness of the threats of PM Corbyn is that many LAB MPs don’t like the idea either

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Well, it would certainly encourage a lot of Labour MPs to support her — John Rentoul (@JohnRentoul) October 11, 2018 With TMay seemingly in a total mess trying to maintain support for her Brexit plans while now being opposed by the Brextremists and the DUP lots of speculative scenarios are being played out. James Forsyth in an interesting Speccie post linked to above raises one one scenario with the risk of PM Corbyn being just about the final argument that…

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