CON 41 % (38) LAB 28 % (30) LD 19 %(20) But Peter Riddell thinks its good for Gordon The second poll of the night, from Populus for the Times, is the first to show what could be real damage from the splits over Labour’s leadership. The figures above show the scale which will hit Labour hard because it comes from the pollster that has tended to produce the best numbers for the party and the lowest for the Tories…
CON 40% (40) LAB 24% (24) LD 20% (20) The least volatile pollster retains it reputation There’s a new poll this evening from PB’s pollster, Angus Reid Public Opinion which shows no change whatsoever on the last survey before Christmas. This is the fifth survey in the exclusive PB series which has built up a remarkable record for consistency. Since we started in October the Tories have been on 40 in three polls, and on 39 and 38 in the…
Or will it make the election more about Brown’s personality? There’s been a lot of hype tonight about a new book, Inside Out by former Labour general secretary, Peter Watt in which he makes less than complimentary comments about Mr. Brown. The Mail on Sunday have bought the serialisation rights and their editorial looks a bit tricky for Number 10. With only about eleven weeks before the election campaign proper starts the main impact could be to put the focus…
CON 40% (40) LAB 30% (31) LD 18%(18) But another margin of error poll After all the speculation that Labour could expect a big hammering in this weekend’s polls the first survey, from ICM for the Sunday Telegraph, has only one change on the last poll from the firm before Christmas – a one point decline in the Labour total. All the other numbers are the same. The standard way of comparing polls is with the last survey from the…
BBC “On this day – July 4 1995” Surely that’s better than the current mess? In her Guardian this morning Jackie Ashley looks at the state of Labour following the failed coup and puts a lot of the blame on the cabinet. Through their actions they “could have either forced Brown out, or could have spread utter hostility to any attempted coup against him, and stopped the plotting..” Instead they did neither – not being prepared to try to bring…
CON 42% (40) LAB 30% (31) LD 16% (17) According to ITV news there’s a new YouGov poll for the Sun that has the Tory leader up by three points to 12%. The changes are all within the margin of error though the Tories will be encouraged to be at their highest YouGov share since just after their party conference in October. It appears as though the survey was carried out AFTER news of the H-H plot and, given the…
I was booked to appear on Radio 5 at just after midnight. With all the fuss I don’t know whether I’m still on so I’m off to bed. The phone will go if they need me. Please use this to continue the discussion. POLLING UPDATE: CON ??%(40) LAB 31%(30) LD ??%(17) The poll was for the Sun with virtually all the fieldwork taking place before Wednesday’s momentous events. Labour will be delighted to move up a notch – even though…