How many will watch and what’ll be the impact? It’s almost certain that one of the highlights of the coming election will be the series of debates between the main party leaders. Working out how much the debates will impact on the election campaign is largely a judgement call but a crucial one. Britain has little experience of this sort of thing. The closest the country has is the weekly Prime Minister’s Questions but they are frequent, formulaic, limited in…
YouGov daily poll (The Sun) Mar 25 Mar 24 CONSERVATIVES 37% 36% LABOUR 33% 34% LIB DEMS 18% 17% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3.5% 2.5% Mike Smithson
How good an election platform is it?
YouGov daily poll (The Sun) Mar 23 Mar 22 CONSERVATIVES 37% 36% LABOUR 33% 32% LIB DEMS 18% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 3.5% 3.5% The LDs drop two Another unexciting daily poll sees very little change except for the LDs to drop two and for Labour and the Tories to move up one. The Tories might have expected a Sam Cam Mam boost but alas that doesn’t seem to have happened. What is odd about YouGov is…
Opinium (Daily Express) Mar 22 Mar 15 CONSERVATIVES 37% 39% LABOUR 30% 28% LIB DEMS 15% 16% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 6.5% “Others” jump to a massive 18 points Only the third national opinion poll to be published from new kid on the block, Opinium for the Daily Express, is out tonight and has the Tory lead narrowing to seven points while others move up to 18%. This is the biggest share to be published by the…
Sunday Times “….Byers, who held three cabinet portfolios from 1998 to 2002, gave specific examples of how he claimed he had changed government policy by lobbying his cabinet friends. He claimed to have struck a secret deal with Lord Adonis, the transport secretary, last year on behalf of National Express, which he said was seeking to jettison a loss-making East Coast rail franchise without penalties. Byers said: “We agreed with Andrew … he would be publicly very critical of National…
ICM ICM News of the World Mar 19 Mar 14 CONSERVATIVES 38% 40% LABOUR 32% 31% LIB DEMS 19% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4.5% 6% Does this make NOM more likely? A new News of the World ICM poll brings bad news for the Tories after what appeared to have been a very good week for them. The moves, all within the margin of error, has the gap down top just six points. Both the Tories and…
Click to play Is a post-election challenge now likely? One story that really has not been given the coverage it perhaps should was this moment in the commons on Tuesday afternoon when Speaker Bercow sought to prevent Tory front-bencher, Theresa Villiers, from raising Labour’s links with UNITE during a question on the BA strike. Paul Waugh of the Standard has been right on top of the story and writes of Cameron lunch in the Commons Dining Room “….. he was…