ICM – Guardian Mar 31 Mar 26 CONSERVATIVES 38% 39% LABOUR 29% 31% LIB DEMS 23% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 5.5% How does this bode for the campaign? Although less than 2 million viewers tuned in to the Channel 4 chancellors’ debate on Monday it generated a lot of associated publicity and tonight we see the benefit. A big boost for Vince’s party and Labour moving back into the 20s. The changes above are with the…
TNS-BMRB Mar XX Mar 3 CONSERVATIVES 38% 39% LABOUR 33% 31% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4% 5.5% The new pollster adds to the confusion There’s a new poll out from TNS-BRMB, which carries out its polling face-to-face but where interviewees self-complete their responses on a lap-top in confidence. The comparisons are with the last poll from the firm a month ago. I’m not sure about the fieldwork dates but the figures look a lot…
Guardian ..or is it. Could it be for real? I was nearly had. I was just about to do a post on Labour’s apparent new election strategy when it twigged – today is April 1st. This is how the Guardian describes Labour “new” approach: “In an audacious new election strategy, Labour is set to embrace Gordon Brown’s reputation for anger and physical aggression, presenting the prime minister as a hard man, unafraid of confrontation, who is willing to take on…
YG daily poll – Sun Mar 31 Mar 30 CONSERVATIVES 38% 38% LABOUR 32% 31% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 4.5% 5%  Harris poll – Metro Mar 31 Mar 22 CONSERVATIVES 37% 35% LABOUR 27% 28% LIB DEMS 19% 17% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 5%  No clear winner in tonight’s polls Two polls are out tonight, the daily YouGov one for The Sun and one from Harris for Metro, report opposing movements…
YG daily poll – Sun Mar 30 Mar 29 CONSERVATIVES 38% 39% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 19% 18% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 5% And the LDs gain just one So a bit of a disappointment for the Lib Dems after last night’s performance by Vincle Cable in the debates but at least they are moving up a notch. The Tory=Labour splt just the same so no notoiceable change following the big NIC announcement. There is a…
Opinium (Daily Express) Mar 29 Mar 22 CONSERVATIVES 38% 37% LABOUR 28% 30% LIB DEMS 16% 15% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6.5% 5% Another poll has Brown’s party falling further behind The first of what I expect to be three polls tonight, new pollster Opinium for the Daily Express, conitnues the trend of all the weekend surveys and has Labour’s deficit getting bigger. The gap is now ten points and the shares on the simplified UNS rule of…
I’m delighted that Marf, PB’s cartoonist from far back, is making a return – after all we could not do without her sharp observation and biting satire during the campaign. She’ll be one of many PBers who are attending Wednesday’s London event at Dirty Dicks opposite Liverpool Street station. It starts at at 6.30pm and I’ve suggested that she brings along some prints and originals of her PB work in case anybody wants to acquire one. Radio 4’s Westminster Hour….
ICM News of the World Mar 26 Mar 19 CONSERVATIVES 39% 38% LABOUR 31% 32% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% 4.5% Wiil this bring welcome relief to the blues? The above figures are being reported by SkyNews and give the Tories an eighrt point lead which is probably enough to secure a small overall majority. This follows a week dominated by the YouGov daily polls which had the gap down to just two points…