You can see more of Marf’s work at LondonSketchbook.com TNS-BRMB sees 8 point LD boost A new poll from face-to-face pollster TNS-BRMB is just out and has figures broadly in line with the rest. Please note that perhaps a third 12% of the fieldwork took place BEFORE the debate. TNS-BRMB Apr 20 Apr 13 CONSERVATIVES 34% 36% LIB DEMS 30% 22% LABOUR 29% 33% Tories back in the lead with YouGov YouGov Daily Poll – Sun Apr 21 Apr 20…
MORI Evening Standard Apr 20 Mar 22 CONSERVATIVES 32% 35% LIB DEMS 32% 21% LABOUR 28% 30% Another poll – another third place for Labour After the ComRes poll which had actually been completed on Monday night we now have MORI where the fieldwork ended yesterday. As can be seen it is in the same broad territory as other recent polls and adds further weight to the view that Lib Dem surge is being sustained. ComRes and its nine point…
At what stage should the animation stop? Philip Palfrey of the University of Sheffield has produced this animated graphic to illustrate how the political map of Britain could change depending on the level of swing to the Liberal Democrats. A key element here is that the map shows all constituencies as being the same geographical size. Philip has asked me to note that this work is based on data provided through EDINA UKBORDERS with the support of the ESRC and…
The conditional voting intention finding from YouGov “How would you vote if you thought the Liberal Democrats had a significant chance of winning..?” (YouGov – April 19 2010) Apr 19 LIB DEMS 49% CONSERVATIVES 25% LABOUR 19% Meanwhile – the first of tonight’s polls – from PB/Angus Reid Angus Reid/Politicalbetting Apr 20 Apr 19 CONSERVATIVES 32% 32% LIB DEMS 33% 32% LABOUR 23% 24% Mike Smithson
Will cabinet seats be the price of a deal? The new political betting exchange Political Smarkets has put up an intriguing new bet – how many Lib Dems will be full Cabinet ministers on June 1st. There are four options, none, one, two and three or more. The firm prices its bets as percentages which after you have got used to it looks sensible – after all many punters tend to rate chances in this way before betting. The none…
UPDATED
Angus Reid/Politicalbetting Apr 19 Apr 12 CONSERVATIVES 32% 38% LIB DEMS 32% 22% LABOUR 24% 28% And Labour fall 8 points behind. Fieldwork for the first PB/Angus Reid voting intention poll since the Thursday debates was completed this afternoon and shows sharp drops on last week for Labour and the Tories and a double digit increase in the Lib Dem share. This is the first poll today that has data from today and underlines the fact that the move to…