Remember this four week old Tory ad?
Funny how things change
Guest Slot: What were the long price winners?
Seat Winner Price Belfast East ALL by 1,533 14/1 Hampstead and Kilburn LAB by 42 13/2 Edinburgh South LAB by 316 5/1 Montgomeryshire CON by 1184 5/1 Birmingham Edgbaston LAB by 1274 4/1 Edinburgh South LAB by 316 5/1 Eltham LAB by 1663 7/2 Luton South LAB by 5650 7/2 Chesterfield LAB by 549 10/3 Halifax LAB by 1472 3/1 Derby North LAB by 613 3/1 Westminster North LAB by 2126 3/1 Harrogate & Knaresborough CON by 1039 3/1 Wirral…
ICM: Post-GE dramas produce little change in VI
ICM Guardian May 24 May 13 CONSERVATIVES 39% 38% LABOUR 32% 33% LIB DEMS 21% 21%  Lib Dems lose a little but Coalition steady at 60% In the first major post-GE poll with voting intention carried out by ICM for The Guardian, there are small increases in the Conservative and Labour shares, while the Lib Dems and Others are down – though all movements are within marginal of error (if towards the outer edges of it). The figures are also…
How long can they go on blaming Labour?
BBC News Is this big challenge for Osborne/Laws? With public spending cut-backs going to dominate the political scene for the foreseeable future it was inevitable that the the George/David coalition du0 made a strong point of blaming Labour. Liam Byrne’s joke letter to David Laws was an absolute gift and is being used by politicians and the media alike. For the longer the coalition can go on holding the outgoing government responsible then the easier it will be politically. But…
It was the oldies wot did it
Ipsos-MORI After every election Ipsos-MORI produce a table like the one above which becomes a great point of reference for the demographics of what happened. The remarkable feature here is the over-65 group which, as predicted here. were the ones most likely to turn out and vote Tory. Interestingly 2010 follows the pattern previous elections where the group least engaged are younger women. Look at the turnout gap compared with men in the same age group. There’s also a big…
Burnham moves into the third favourite slot
Bestbetting And Ed Miliband continues to edge out The chart shows the movement on the Labour leadership market with Andy Burnham continuing to make progress at the expense of the two Eds – Balls and Miliband – who have seen their prices ease. A lot depends of course on all of them surmounting the next hurdle – getting the required number of 33 MP nominees. I’m on all the top four at prices between 7/1 and 22/1. Mike Smithson
23/05/07: The first “Who’ll succeed Gord” thread
PB May 23 2007 Sometimes it’s quite fun to go back and look at an old PB thread to see what perceptions were then. Well the one above is well worth looking at coming as it did more than a month before Brown became PM. HenryG Manson reviewed the runners for the Labour leadership election AFTER Brown. William Hill had then just put up a market. Interestingly there’s no mention of Andy Burnham or Ed Miliband – though his brother…
Marf on Wednesday
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