politicalbetting.com

But will Theresa May hold on in Maidenhead? With just two days left for people to get their entries in for our General Election Competition Politicalbetting users are predicting a Labour vote margin of 3.4%, an overall majority of 63 and that it’s touch and go whether the former Conservative chairman, Theresa May, will hang on to her Maidenhead seat. Inputting the average vote margin into Martin Baxter’s calculator you need to factor in a tactical vote unwind of -2.5%…

Read More Read More

What’s behind the “step down” rumours? William Hill have cut their odds about Tony Blair resigning as Labour leader during 2005 from 5/2 to 2/1 – and lengthened their odds about him surviving as Prime Minister for longer than Margaret Thatcher from 4/1 to 9/2. According to the bookmaker: “the political rumour mill seems to be full of stories suggesting that Mr Blair will be going sooner rather than later, so we are adjusting our odds accordingly’. The Blair to…

Read More Read More

! Which MPs should be thinking about their future careers? If you are returning to your computer today after the holiday don’t forget to enter our General Election Competition – entries close on Saturday. Already a big range of predictions has emerged and there has been particular interest in several of the seat-specific elements. Bethnal Green and Bow has produced a range of predictions covering four possible outcomes. Will George Galloway do it? If he doesn’t will his campaign undermine…

Read More Read More

Something more to argue about New Year’s Eve and a good moment to launch our General Election Prediction Competition. Apart from the honour and the recognition from your peers we are hoping that a sponsor will provide a suitable prize. At the moment the best we have got is a colour picture of Ken Livingstone with his autograph on it and a Tony Blair mug where the nose grows as you pour in hot water. Post your entries as a…

Read More Read More

I am compiling a General Election Prediction competition which as well as the general forecasts has six or seven seat specific elements. At the moment I’ve got Bethnal Green & Bow (George Galloway); Cambridge (the most discussed seat on the site) ; Dorset West (Oliver Letwin’s and a LD decapitation target) ; Brent East (by-election follow-up) and St. Albans (possible tactical vote unwind) . I’d like interesting Scottish and Welsh seats as well as any other suggestions for seats that…

Read More Read More

Victor Chandler offer 5/1 on Blunkett returning in 2005 A great price of 5/1 is available on David Blunkett returning to the Cabinet during 2005. The 5/1 from VC compares with just 7/4 on the same punt from Bet365 and we do not think it will stay at that level. It ‘s not often that two bookmakers offer such differing prices on the same market and, in our view, it is Chandlers which have got it marked wrongly. Get on…

Read More Read More

Mike Smithson & Robert Smithson Thanks to all our users and forum contributors for all you have done in the past nine months. The discussions are great and we’ve managed to create a community of activists and others interested in politics from almost the full gambit of UK parties where these matters can be discussed and debated in a calm non-confrontational manner. It all bodes well for the General Election campaign. Good betting.

How UKIP outspent Labour in the Euro Elections UKIP’s stunning performance in the Euro Elections on June 10 was on the back of having the budget to outspend both Labour and the Liberal Democrats according to new figures out today from the Electoral Commission. These show the following amounts were spent by each party on the campaign. Conservatives £3.13m UKIP £2.36m Labour £1.7m Lib Dems £1.19m Greens £404k The campaign took UKIP into third place, ahead of the Lib Dems…

Read More Read More