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Jonathan on the impact of the Labour YES campaign? Labour’s YES campaign for the AV referendum kicked off on Wednesday with a letter in the Guardian. Around 50 figures from across the party declared that “first past the post isn’t working” and that “it’s time for change”. It was a bold, unambiguous statement in favour of reform. What implications does it have for Labour, May’s result and politics generally? Labour has been facing a dilemma. Despite the 2010 manifesto pledge…

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Would it have been tribal war almost every night? The attempted Labour filibuster this week to stop the fees votes was a reminder of how important it is for the government, in coalition or not, to have enough MPs available to thwart attempts to stop business going through. Just imagine if instead of the current partnership the Lib Dems and Labour had been part of a “Rainbow Coalition”? With 307 of the 650 MPs the blues would have been able…

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2010 election analysis (MORI) CON % LAB % LD % OTH %  Turn-Out All 37 30 24 10 65% Gender           Male 38 28 22 12 66% Female 36 31 26 8 64% Men 18-24 29 34 27 10 50% Men 25-34 42 23 30 6 56% Men 35-54 36 28 23 13 67% Men 55+ 41 29 16 14 76% Women 18-24 30 28 34 9 39% Women 25-34 27 38 27 8 54% Women…

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How long will the yellows go on fielding the flack? There’s a growing mood of resentment within the Lib Dems towards the Tories for the way they’ve allowed the yellows to take all the flack for the coalition’s policies while being reluctant to put their heads above the parapet to take on the arguments themselves. This is starting to get serious and could just be the spark that causes this arrangement to come apart. Iain Martin sums up the blue…

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If the AV referendum was held tomorrow how would you vote? (ICM) ALL polled CON identifiers LAB identifiers LD identifiers Would vote YES for voting system to change to AV 35 26 38 68 Would vote NO to keep existing system 22 39 21 6 Don’t know/wouldn’t vote 44 35 40 25 Who has got this right – ICM or YouGov? There’s a new ICM poll, commissioned by the Electoral Reform Society, on next May’s AV referendum which gives a…

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