Will the Blair family be watching today’s 14 hour marathon? The BBC Parliament channel is again devoting a bank holiday Monday to a full repeat of the corporation’s coverage of a past general election. So if you are not completely sick of election results programmes following days of intensive coverage sit back and follow today’s 14 hour marathon broadcast of the dramatic events of May 1-2 1997 when the young man who had become the Labour member for Sedgefield 14…
15th June 2007 at Central Hall Westminster. Storey’s Gate SW1H 9NH Cost: Please send a cheque for £30 payable to British Polling Council sent to ICM Research, Berkshire House, 168-173, High Holborn, London WC1V 7AA, together with your name, address and any organisation that you represent. By 1st June. For more information on the British polling Council please visit the BPC website – www.britishpollingcouncil.org This looks like an interesting day for a modest price and I am delighted that the…
Why spin something that’s so easy to check? I’ve just heard cabinet minister Alistair Darling talking about the Scottish results on Radio 4’s Today Programme and at least six times he claimed that Labour and the SNP ended up with the same number of votes. If that’s the line that the spinners are taking then it’s a lie and, I would suggest very dangerous. Fact: The SNP got 664,227 (32.9%) of the votes in the constituency section on Thursday and…
Can Ségo still beat Sarkozy Predict the winner of the French Presidential Election and their share of the vote to up to two decimal places. Your score will be the difference between your prediction and the actual result. If you predict the wrong winning candidate, a penalty of three percentage points will be added to your score. The entry with the lowest score will win the competition. Tie-breaker What will be the highest percentage vote score by either candidate in…
A new poll tonight from the US firm, Rasmussen, has put the black senator from Illionois, Barack Obama, ahead for the first time in the race for the Democratic nomination. The pollster notes that most of the survey took place before last week’s TV debate of all the democrat challengers in south Carolina. A general view was that Hillary Clinton came out of that on top. Rasmussen has been the most Obama-friendly pollster for some time and this latest survey…
Last Thursday I suggested that a good French election bet was to buy Royal on the Spreadfair 10-25 spread market. This gives 10 points to the runner-up and 25 points to the ultimate winner. I bought at the 10 level taking what proved to be the right gamble that she would make the second round. This means that the bet cannot be a loser. If Sego loses I break even. If Sego wins I make 15 times my stake level…
Have PBers been too good for them? IG Index told me this morning that they were closing their BrandIndex spread market on the changing popularity of politicians which has been operation since January. Punters sought to guess whether a selection of politicians would go up or down and “buy” or “sell” accordingly. The ratings were based on YouGov’s daily BrandIndex surveys of thousands of members of its pollution panel. Each week for the site a little group led by Peter…