…and so onto Barnsley Central….
Thanks to John Loony for the bar chart. Mike Smithson
What if the party on 43 struggles against the party on 9?
Is this election really all about EdM’s leadership? I very much agree with the former Blair advisor, John McTernan’s take on his Telegraph blog. ..This is, in the end, all about Labour. And more precisely, all about Ed Miliband. He needs a strong result because Oldham East and Saddleworth is a seat where Labour shouldn’t need to break sweat. Phil Woolas held the seat when Labour were a bare six points ahead of the Lib Dems nationally, with the margin…
A cautionary tale about following the betting
Remember this threat thread from five years ago? LDs shortening on betfiar re DF. Tabman February 9th, 2006 at 11:42 pm Has any government EVER had such a good -election record? The Professor February 9th, 2006 at 11:42 pm LibDem agent in Dunfermline says they are ‘optimistic of retaining second place’. Nick Palmer MP February 9th, 2006 at 11:43 pm Professor) If you correct for the lower number of -elections these days (longer life expectancy and younger MPs), the Tories…
Who’s trying to talk up the Tories through Ladbrokes?
Why are all the new Ladbrokes accounts being opened? According to Ladbrokes Tories have been backed to win the Oldham & Saddleworth by-election by mystery political punters in an eleventh hour gamble. They report that several new accounts have been opened in the Oldham area with the new punters eager to bet as much money as possible on an incredible Tory triumph. The Conservatives had been as big as 100/1 before the shock plunge – which has seen their odds…
Marf makes a return to PB
But please go on voting in our OES prediction We haven’t seen Marf, PB’s cartoonist for some time and it’s great to welcome her back with her take on the bankers’ bonuses – a subject we would have been covering but for the proximity of Thursday’s election. In the meantime you can continue to make your predictions on what will happen in Old & Sad. It’s great to welcome you back Marf – you’ve been missed. What will be the…
OK guys and gals: time to put your predictions on the record
Is this women going to be an MP on Friday? I’ve just laid Labour at 1.05 on Betfair – that’s a return of 20 times the money I’ve got at risk if they fail to do it. I think it’s a value bet. So what about you. What do you think will be the outcome on Thursday? Please use the quickies poll below and used the thread to post your predictions for posterity. PB, for those that didn’t know, is…
So will Barnsley Central be the next by-election?
Barnsley General election result Party Votes % +/- Eric Illsley Labour 17487 47.3 -10.4 Christopher Wiggin Liberal Democrat 6394 17.3 -2 Piers Tempest Conservative 6388 17.3 2.5 Ian Sutton British National Party 3307 8.9 4.4 David Silver UK Independence Party 1727 4.7 4.7 Donald Wood Independent 732 2 2 Tony Devoy Independent 610 1.6 1.6 Terry Robinson Socialist Labour Party 356 1 1 And will Labour’s ratings continue to be untouched? Today at Southwark Crown Court the only sitting MP…
Do voters really care about who is most local?
Is Watkins trying to do to Labour what Woolas did to him? One of the elements of September’s election court ruling on Phil Woolas was over the then Labour candidate’s claim that the Lib Dem was not telling the truth over “being a local”. Now, in the final couple of days of the campaign the yellow standard-bearer is trying to make an issue over the veracity of his Labour opponent’s claim to “be local”. In a leaflet he picks up…