The polls closed at 10pm but the Glasgow East betting will continue right through until the result is known. I’ve not been convinced either way in the this contest and have refrained from betting today. Maybe that was a mistake. The whole atmosphere has been dominated by the polls – particularly the latest one and this has had a big impact on the betting. Whether what punters are doing is in any way predictive we’ll know before very long. Mike…
How good a predictor is this? The chart shows how the Betfair prices on the by election have moved in the past twelve hours with the odds reflected as an implied probability. If there is any information coming from on the ground then it’s hard to detect it having an impact. Certainly there’s nothing happened so far that has caused SNP backers to feel confident about backing their choice to tighter prices. The general experience of by elections is that…
Who do you think will win tomorrow’s Glasgow East by election? Labour SNP Conservatives Lib Dems Which party will finish in third place? Conservatives Lib Dems Another
For one week in August, Politicalbetting.com will be reporting from Denver Back in March, I sent in some application forms to the DNC and RNC so that PoliticalBetting.com could be credentialled alongside other media outlets to cover the Nominating Conventions from Denver and Minneapolis-St. Paul respectively. The RNC gave us an unequivocal rejection (the Right seems less interested in what Senator Ted Stevens (R-AK) called “a Series of Tubes“ than the Left) but the Democrats have made some accommodation for…
SNP internal poll shows them just 4 points behind in Glasgow East Four days ahead of Glasgow East, the Sunday Herald is reporting SNP internal polling that shows them behind by just 4 points, while Labour internal polling shows that it will be “as tight as hell” – a 3-figure majority now looks likely. Latest Glasgow East prices are here. The Scotland on Sunday considers the impact that the Glasgow Fair is having on the campaign, while Geoffrey Wheatcroft portrays…
National poll blow for Brown ahead of Glasgow East The figures from ComRes for tomorrow’s Independent on Sunday are just out and show Labour with a record low share from the pollster. Please note the comparisons above are from the last survey by the pollster – not the last survey in the Indy on Sunday. Newspapers always seem to assume that the comparisons we want are those from the last poll they published – not the last one from the…
What record will be broken later today? John Rentoul has news on his blog that there is a significant poll to be published in the Independent on Sunday, expected from ComRes later today. He writes: “We have a ComRes poll in The Independent on Sunday tomorrow. Another record will be broken. We have also asked people whether they agree or disagree with the following statements: Britain should never have become involved in Iraq British troops should be withdrawn from Iraq…
Could a daring move could seal the Election early? Very few people would fail to recognise the talents of Senator Obama as a campaigning politician. His oratory is uplifting, his intellect apparent, his energy and youth appealing, and his campaign not only made the most of new technology, but didn’t sacrifice the benefits of old-fashioned door knocking and lawn signs either. He beat one of the toughest opponents imagineable in the primary season, and now enjoys a massive fundraising advantage…