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The Friday night open thread I’ll kick off with this:- The thing that most p*sses me off about modern politics is that everything seems to be focussed on “Hard-working families” – which can be alienating to those who aren’t. I don’t think that Brown ever uses the word “family” without this prefix and Cameron has been known to do the same. This is formulaic political rhetoric at it worst. I want political leaders that will stand up for the slothful,…

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This is a table adapted from UK Polling Report showing all the published ICM polls during 2008. Below is a table showing all the ComRes polls, excluding last night’s sensational CON 37%: LAB 36%: LD 17%. We also had in the Observer in the Observer on Sunday the poll from Ipsos-MORI. I’ve not featured its 2008 table because it has gone through a big methodological change. My main observation from the two tables is that ICM is the more stable…

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Can they beat the lawyer who represented Lord Levy The big development in “Green-Gate” was a news conference this afternoon involving the Home Office mole and his solicitor – the head of criminal law at Bindmans and the man who represented Lord Levy. Neil O’May ain’t going to come cheap and judging by the bits of the news conference that we saw he ain’t going to be a push-over either. As the BBC’s Nick Robinson describes it: “Mr Galley’s side…

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Following in the footsteps of StJohn’s crossword and Rod Crosby’s UK political quiz, please see below an international quiz which should hopefully get a few heads scratched. I won’t be around to comment on answers as they come through, but will aim to be back on later this evening when I’ll present a full set of results. There are no prizes, but as Peter Snow used to say, “it’s just a bit of fun…” 1. Which book features canine characters…

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Today’s Balance of Money Index: CON MAJ 54 On Thursday we published the first PB “Balance of Money Index” which seeks to translate current opinion on the betting markets into a single number representing an election outcome. The first one, less than four days ago, pointed to a Tory majority of just 26 seats. Since then there has been the Green arrest and two new opinion polls showing moves to the Conservatives with ICM pointing to a 45% share for…

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CONSERVATIVES 43% (+3) LABOUR 32% (-5) LIB DEMS 15% (+3) Mori jumps from 3-point lead to 11-point lead According to comments on the previous thread, Sky News is reporting that in tomorrow’s Observer newspaper, Ipsos Mori have a new poll which is startlingly different to their previous offering, which famously reduced the Tory lead to three points. Their latest poll is far more in line with what we have seen recently from other pollsters, such as yesterday’s ICM. With the…

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Does Sir Hugh Orde benefit the most? Paddy Power (who else) are running a market on who is going to be appointed the next permanent Commissioner of the Metropolitan Police Service. The two clear favourites for the job, according to media sources, were Sir Paul Stephenson (the Deputy Commissioner, and currently Acting Commissioner following Sir Ian Blair’s departure yesterday) and Sir Hugh Orde (the Chief Constable of the Police Service of Northern Ireland). After the debacle of police officers from…

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