The PMQ thread
Continuation thread as the two leaders clash I’m not feeling very well today so here is a thread for this lunchtime’s PMQs. Hopefully I’ll be posting normally later. Mike Smithson
Projected Tory majority up 4 on PB’s Index
Punters continue to bet against Brown/Labour The latest version of the PB Index, which tries to extrapolate current betting prices into a general election outcome, has a projected Conservative majority four seats higher than when we last looked at this five days ago. The index is now pointing to an overall majority for the Tories of 62 seats – which is the highest it has ever been. The calculation is done by taking the seat ranges on the two spread…
Commons seat spreads reach new Tory high
Sporting Index Spread Markets The buy price for the Tories on Sporting Index has hit the 360 mark for the first time as punters pile onto the Tories. I was hoping for the othe main market, Extrabet, to put out revised numbers today but, alas, nothing.
Has the People’s Party spiked the People’s Game?
SERVER SOFTWARE HAS BEEN UPDATED, HOPEFULLY THERE WILL BE NO PROBLEMS! BUT THERE MAY BE SOME ISSUES IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS How will the Budget be viewed by football fans? So, Alistair Darling did go for Clear Red Water after all, as some of us predicted he might last week. The new 50% top rate of tax has been one of the main headline-grabbers of the budget, alongside the record-breaking predictions for borrowing. Much of the criticism of the…
YouGov shows almost no change since Friday
UPDATED CON 45(nc) LAB 27(nc) LD 17(-1) At least for Gord it is not getting any worse News is now coming through of the new YouGov poll which is showing almost exactly the same party shares as in yesterday’s Daily Telegraph. The only difference being a oine point decline for the Lib Dems. The poll has been commissioned by the Sunday People. Interestingly like in the earlier YouGov poll there’s broad support for the specific budget measures. The problem is…
Could this cost Labour dear next time?
Or might it be the means to re-igniting the party after a defeat? For psephologists, one of the most interesting policies expounded by the Conservative party is that they will introduce individual voter registration to ‘restore the integrity of the ballot‘. It is considered a severe loop-hole that households are the registering unit at present, and that this leaves the system open to vote fraud – a problem that can be compounded by postal voting. No-one can be certain of…
Talkin’ ’bout my generation
How many U30s will make it into the Commons next time? I’ve been following the selection process for a Labour candidate in the safe seat of Erith & Thamesmead with some interest for the last couple of weeks. For those unfamiliar, there are eight candidates (all female) competing, and the battle-lines have been drawn between the union-supported candidate (Rachel Maskell) who has the backing of Charlie Whelan, and Georgia Gould, the daughter of Lord Gould (Phillip) who was the pollster…
Labour drops 7 points with YouGov
CON 45(+4) LAB 27(-7) LD 18(+2) How will Brown Central deal with this? The first full voting intention poll since the budget is out and it’s from YouGov for the Telegraph. The numbers show a sharp reverse from the last published YouGov survey which was taken immediately after the G20 meeting and raised hopes at Brown Central because it only had a 7 point deficit. Unlike the paper which is reporting comparisons with its last poll I am following the…