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More by-election fun in Norwich North

More by-election fun in Norwich North

Now for some betting action… I spent all of yesterday with Iain Dale and Hopi Sen on the PLAY Talk Radio show covering the local election results, the PM’s press conference, the mother of all reshuffles, and general political debates of the day. By my reckoning we had between 4 and 6 months’ news yesterday, but the 9-and-a-half hour show was topped with a PoliticalBetting.com cherry: a competitive by-election sparked by the resignation of Labour MP Dr Ian Gibson in…

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Your predictions for Sunday night

Your predictions for Sunday night

What to do you think the Great Britain Tory vote will be in the Euro Elections? 0 – 24.9% 25 – 25.9% 26 – 26.9% 27 – 27.9% 28 – 28.9% 29 – 29.9% 30 – 30.9% 31% – 100%    Which party will be in SECOND PLACE in terms of vote share in the GB Euro Election? LABOUR LIB DEM UKIP None of the above    Which party will be in THIRD PLACE in terms of vote share in…

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So he survives – but for how much longer?

So he survives – but for how much longer?

And what about the Euros and now the Norwich by election? We knew this was going to be one helluva political day and so it has been. Right through the night to Browns late afternoon press conference when news came through of Caroline Flint’s resignation. There’s an interesting story there that we haven’t heard the last of. She gave Gord a strong endorsement last night just as James Purnell was doing his worst – why just nineteen hours later is…

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Is Gord going to scrape through?

Is Gord going to scrape through?

But what will the Euros bring? The original plan had been to have the re-shuffle on Monday after the EU elections had been made known. Well that’s had to be brought forward and while the local results come in we are getting the re-shuffle. In many ways you have to admire Brown’s resilience and resolve but there’s no doubt that he’s been badly damaged by the events of the past few days and the pressure will be piled on as…

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Is this going to be the next Labour explosion?

Is this going to be the next Labour explosion?

What if Brown appoints Balls as Chancellor? What a night and so much more to come in the next few days. Apart from the local election results which are coming in overnight the big political story during the day will be the cabinet re-shuffle. Who is going to replace Jacqui Smith, Hazel Blears and now James Purnell? But most interesting move of them all is whether Ed Balls gets the job he has set his heart on – Chancellor of…

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Gordon Brown’s Premiership in its Death Throes

Gordon Brown’s Premiership in its Death Throes

James Purnell has this evening resigned From the BBC: James Purnell has stepped down from the cabinet and told Prime Minister Gordon Brown to “stand aside” In a letter to the Sun and the Times, the work and pensions secretary said he was not seeking the leadership but wanted to trigger a debate. Mr Purnell is the third cabinet member to announce they are standing down in the past few days. Mr Brown is set to reshuffle his cabinet as…

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How will the results be viewed in the “Tory War Room”?

How will the results be viewed in the “Tory War Room”?

Could the outcomes not quite reach expectations? With the polls due to close at 10pm all the focus has been on Labour with talk at one stage of a high-profile name making a big announcement at 10pm. Who knows? But what about the Tories? Could they find both the locals and the Euros something of a disappointment. The problems here, of course, are that the minor parties who hardly ever get a look in are seeing a big increase in…

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But where are the voters..?

But where are the voters..?

Is turnout going to be on the low side? It’s always quite difficult trying to make a guess at turnout at this stage on polling days. The big rush is generally between 5pm and 7.30pm. Even so the message that’s coming through is that the levels of voter participation are not going to be anywhere near the proportions that some were suggesting over the weekend. Above is the scene outside my own polling station – the refreshment hut at Bedford…

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