And by comparison IDS in October 2003
Within four weeks of this conference speech Iain Duncan Smith faced a confidence motion which he lost. Michael Howard became Conservative leader. Mike Smithson
So how’s he doing?
Brown speech continuation thread
Can Mandy put the fight back into his party?
Or is defeatism just too widespread? Last night alongside Ben Page, CEO of MORI, I spoke at a fringe meeting at Labour’s conference about the coming general election and the likely outcome. At the end of the session the chair, Lord Foulkes, asked for a show of hands on what the audience believed would happen. They voted 1. Labour majority: 2 Hung parliament 3. Tory majority. This was a night for keeping your spirits up and there’s little doubt that…
ComRes: Labour would do better with anyone but Brown
CON 38%(-2) LAB 23%(-1) LD 23%(+2) And the LDs draw level after their conference A new poll for the Indy from ComRes tonight has further good news for the Lib Dems following their conference last week. They move up to 23% and are now at the same level as Labour – something that won’t bring much cheer to delegates in Brighton. The trends are very similar to the other recent polls – Lib Dems up with the Tories and Labour…
How do PBers view the coming general election?
Please use this thread for discussion on UK politics and the previous one for the German General Election Mark Gill of Woodnewton has produced the above chart from the latest Populus and I wondered how Pbers would have responded. Whether you are a lurker or a someone who post comments please put your view below. What’s your prediction for the coming UK general election? CON majority of 100 or more CON majority less than 100 Hung parliament – CON largest…
Lib Dems get 4 point ICM boost in a week
CON 40 (-3) LAB 26 (nc) LD 23 (+4) But will it be there after the conference season? After last night’s YouGov poll showing a three point increase in the Lib Dem total there’s a new ICM poll out for the News of the World which is showing the same broad movement – Labour at a standstill, Nick Clegg’s party up with the Tories down. Another trend, not seen by YouGov but reinforced by ICM, is the continued decline of…
So was it a good Lib Dem Conference?
CON 39% (-2) LAB 26% (-1) LD 20%(+3) Good news for Clegg’s party from YouGov A YouGov poll for tomorrow’s Telegraph will bring some welcome relief for the Lib Dems with a three point boost in their rating. Both the Conservatives and Labour are down, with the Conservatives dropping back below 40%. The changes are against the Sunday Times poll, conducted by YouGov and published on 11th September. All the changes are within the margin of error but only just in the…
Continuation Thread
The Times is running a story on Tory PPCs who are apparently involved in lobbying efforts ahead of the next election. The Telegraph is reporting that Speaker Jon Bercow has made comments about the accountability of Lord Mandelson to MPs Max Clifford is now representing Baroness Scotland’s former housekeeper, causing that story to run on another couple of days at least. Oh, and on the last thread David Roe brings us this exclusive from his new home at the Scottish…