Candidate selections in the seats could be interesting. What about George Osborne – an opportunity for him to stand down in Tatton? And what about Douglas Carswell in Clacton – will he try to get returned as an independent?
Can she satisfy or circumvent The Fixed-term Parliament Act? pic.twitter.com/pkKaBrVPuF — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 18, 2017 https://twitter.com/NinaDSchick/status/854275303753043968 Will Labour agree to an early election? Given the polls I can understand why Mrs May is calling a general election, but there’s a few major issues to sort out Can she satisfy the fixed-term parliament act in the vote tomorrow? Will Mrs May receive any backlash, like Gordon Brown, for going back on her word on holding an early election If she…
This week YouGov released some fascinating polling on Theresa May and her popularity. As we can see from the above chart it helps explains why Mrs May has such a colossal lead over Jeremy Corbyn on who would make the best Prime Minister and why if Jeremy Corbyn is Labour leader at the next general election, the 2020 general election is going to be the electoral equivalent of the Anglo-Zanzibar war. But is her popularity down to Mrs May not…
Don Brind on where the UNITE boss is right and where wrong Len McCluskey is right. Labour could be back in government as a result of the 2020 General Election. I agree with the Unite leader that while there’s little chance of Labour winning the election there’s a decent chance that the Tories will lose it. McCluskey is rather more emphatic than me: “ I don’t think the Tories will win the next election. They might be the largest party…
“I want us to employ the power of government as a force for good to transform the way we deal with mental health problems right across society, and at every stage of life.” Fine words from the Prime Minister in her Charity Commission lecture in January. It’s an issue I care about – I ran a small mental health charity for several years. But as so often with the PM the words don’t match the reality. As a letter in…
Polling analysis: CON’s getting biggest swings where it matters most Writing a thread on why Labour might do even worse than headline polling figures suggest feels uncomfortably like kicking a man when he’s down. However, if that’s what’s happening then it needs reporting and interpreting; I am only the messenger. And it is happening. Poll after poll has reported differential swings across regions, social groups and Brexit alignment. I’ve therefore looked at all the polls published in March to see…
Everybody seems to be ignoring the Fixed Term Parliament Act In the latest PB polling matters podcast we hear that polling has been going on asking the public what they think of the idea of having an early General Election. The responses are interesting but they ignore one pertinent fact: The prime minister, unlike all those before Cameron, does not have the personal power to go to the monarch and seek the dissolution of Parliament. The Fixed Term Parliament Act…
A new poll conducted by GfK, the first published GB political survey since GE2005 when it operated as NOP, has Corbyn as unpopular among Brits as Trump. GfK surveyed a nationally representative sample of 1,938 GB adults between March 1st and March 15th, 2017 and found: Prime Minister Theresa May is more popular than the Government overall. 46% of GB adults approve of the job she is doing as Prime Minister (just 33% disapprove) while 40% approve of the way the…