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Category: General Election

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast on Theresa May’s snap election

This week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast on Theresa May’s snap election

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With a snap general election announced, Leo Barasi is joined by Progress deputy editor Conor Pope, and political consultant Laurence Janta-Lipinski, to talk about the state of the parties and the race ahead. The Tories seem to be on course for a guaranteed landslide but does that mean they won’t be able to scare potential voters about a Corbyn government? What policies and arguments can Labour offer to fight back? How far can the Lib Dems go? And is it…

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The true purpose of GE2017 will be confirmed in the CON candidate choices in Thanet S and LD-CON battlegrounds

The true purpose of GE2017 will be confirmed in the CON candidate choices in Thanet S and LD-CON battlegrounds

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The CPS could play a role like the FBI’s Comey in the closing campaign stages The veteran Labour firebrand, Dennis Skinner, raised the Tory GE2015 campaign expenses investigation in usual style at PMQs yesterday. The prime minister responded in her usual style as well and appeared to back all the MPs involved. But we do know that the Crown Prosecution Service have said that charges are being considered against 30+ individuals and the timescale of this means that there will…

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Tories take a 24% lead with YouGov. Can they poll 50% and above?

Tories take a 24% lead with YouGov. Can they poll 50% and above?

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EXC: Tonight Tories on 48% in the first YouGov poll taken since Theresa May called election – highest since May 2008 pic.twitter.com/awaKs7V0Yv — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) April 19, 2017 What that @YouGov poll would look like at a general election. Tory majority of 186 pic.twitter.com/bRqvp6qmIx — TSE (@TSEofPB) April 19, 2017 As Labour head for the mother and father of all shellackings, if Corbyn had any honour or love for Labour he’d stand down now but INDEPENDENT DIGITAL Revealed:…

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Why the Conservatives may fall short of their hopes

Why the Conservatives may fall short of their hopes

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  A guest slot by Harry Spencer Calling an early General Election is, by definition, something usually undertaken by a government confident of winning. And with opinion poll leads well in double figures, and an utterly hapless opposition this is certainly a pretty fair assessment. I don’t necessarily disagree with the idea the Conservatives will win a much-expanded majority, but precedent for snap General Elections is…mixed. Defining snap elections as early elections voluntarily undertaken by a government which already has a…

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No one knows anything. What to do if/when Mrs May wins today’s vote

No one knows anything. What to do if/when Mrs May wins today’s vote

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In 2011, Ruth Ellen Brosseau was a bartender in Ottawa, Canada’s capital.  Some of her regulars were political activists for the New Democratic Party and when the federal election was looming, they twisted her arm to stand as a paper candidate in a no-hoper constituency in a heavily French-speaking area of Quebec.  She didn’t campaign (just as well, since her French wasn’t very good), she didn’t even visit the constituency.  During the election campaign she went on holiday in Vegas….

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GE2017 looks such a certainty that it could end up like GE2001 – boring with a low turnout

GE2017 looks such a certainty that it could end up like GE2001 – boring with a low turnout

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Many of the Labour MPs who will be voting for a general election this afternoon will be doing so in the pretty certain knowledge that they are ending their political careers earlier than planned. Turkeys will indeed be voting for Christmas and I just wonder how many will not participate in this afternoon’s vote. The numbers for the party are just calling and it is very hard seeing how there can be any change over the next seven weeks that….

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Looks like Mike Smithson was right about his theory about the reasons for an early general election

Looks like Mike Smithson was right about his theory about the reasons for an early general election

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BREAKING: The CPS have told Channel 4 News tonight that they are considering charges against more than 30 individuals. #electionexpenses — alex thomson (@alextomo) April 18, 2017 Charges during the election campaign could damage the Tories and Mrs May. Note: 30 individuals might not mean 30 MPs, it might mean 15 MPs and 15 agents TSE

GE2017 – the first polling

GE2017 – the first polling

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First GE2017 poll from ICM – post announcement Con: 46% (+2) Lab: 25% (-1) LD: 11% (+ 1) UKIP: 8% (-3) Green: 4% (n/c) By 49% to 17%, the public thinks that Theresa May is right to seek an early general election https://t.co/Lei8VydF1t pic.twitter.com/z9A2oep41X — YouGov (@YouGov) April 18, 2017