Browsed by
Category: General Election

Has the 2017 general election killed Scottish nationalism stone dead?

Has the 2017 general election killed Scottish nationalism stone dead?

REFERENDUM RETHINK? The Herald's Paul Hutcheon cites SNP sources saying #indyref2 is 'dead' https://t.co/biwc7lucWr pic.twitter.com/6ZbdKjcO7s — STV News (@STVNews) June 9, 2017 #GE2017: West Aberdeenshire & Kincardine:Con: 47.9% (+19.0)SNP: 32.5% (-9.1)Lab: 11.1% (+6.5)LDem: 8.6% (-12.8) pic.twitter.com/i9XUjYi1yV — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 9, 2017 #GE2017: Edinburgh West:LDem: 34.3% (+1.2)SNP: 28.6% (-10.3)Con: 21.9% (+9.6)Lab: 14.9% (+3.2)Ind: 0.3% (+0.3) pic.twitter.com/Izalj0axSD — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 9, 2017 CONSERVATIVE GAINConstituency: Stirling#GE2017 live blog: https://t.co/2FsZwH7vMH pic.twitter.com/Tu7In07pHx — STV News (@STVNews) June 9, 2017 Scottish #GE2017…

Read More Read More

It looks like Mrs May’s UKIP firewall was as good a defence as the Maginot Line

It looks like Mrs May’s UKIP firewall was as good a defence as the Maginot Line

#GE2017: Bury North:Lab: 53.6% (+12.5)Con: 44.5% (+2.5)LDem: 1.9% (-0.2) pic.twitter.com/skBkQypyHR — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 9, 2017 Labour expecting to take Glasgow North, Cardiff North, Morley & Outwood and Gower. — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 9, 2017 Though the blame should be focused on Mrs May and Nick ‘Labour sleeper agent’ Timothy #GE2017: Battersea:Lab: 45.9% (+9.1)Con: 41.5% (-10.8)LDem: 8.0% (+3.6)Ind: 2.2% (+2.3)Grn: 1.6% (-1.7)UKIP: 0.6% (-2.5) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 9, 2017 Recounts likely in Hastings & Rye and…

Read More Read More

The Swindon North result presages a very poor night for the Tories

The Swindon North result presages a very poor night for the Tories

#GE2017: North Swindon:Con: 53.6% (+3.3)Lab: 38.4% (+10.6)LDem: 3.6% (+0.3)UKIP: 2.8% (-12.5)Grn: 1.6% (-1.7) — Britain Elects (@BritainElects) June 8, 2017 Swindon N worse for the Conservatives than the exit poll. This is all much more fun than I expected… — Philip Cowley (@philipjcowley) June 8, 2017 Labour up 10 points in Swindon North – which Ed Balls points out wasn't in the top 100 target seats for Jeremy Corbyn — Steve Hawkes (@steve_hawkes) June 8, 2017 I've been told by…

Read More Read More

Calamity for May as exit poll shows the Tory majority wiped out

Calamity for May as exit poll shows the Tory majority wiped out

Blimey. May oversees the wipeout of the Tory majority. Though the 2015 exit poll had the Tories on 316. pic.twitter.com/xlMlVcSwxu — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 8, 2017 Craig Oliver: "This is the biggest gamble a politician has taken for a long time and if the exit poll is right it will have failed." — Edward Malnick (@malnick) June 8, 2017 The exit poll only needs to be slightly wrong for Corbyn to be PM, — TSE (@TSEofPB) June 8, 2017 No…

Read More Read More

The final poll, Ipsos MORI, has CON lead up 3 to 8% + latest betting

The final poll, Ipsos MORI, has CON lead up 3 to 8% + latest betting

Headline voting intentions from our final #GE2017 poll for @standardnews https://t.co/fgzdOQg4bZ #infographic #dataviz pic.twitter.com/5b9bhzjHde — Ipsos UK (@IpsosUK) June 8, 2017 Working on the survey that really matters – the exit poll The exit poll in action – hundreds of Ipsos MORI and GFK pollsters in marginal seats across Britain. #GE2017 pic.twitter.com/pLA68ygBMt — Ben Page (@benatipsos) June 8, 2017 The betting sees CON rise curbed but still big majority LAB seats up above 200 on the spreadsSPIN 203-209 SpreadEx 201-207https://t.co/rSKroIPwt1…

Read More Read More

At least one of the final polls, surely, will have got GE2017 right?

At least one of the final polls, surely, will have got GE2017 right?

No one can accuse the pollsters of herding this time With just one firm still to publish, Ipsos-MORI for the Standard, the above Wikipedia list looks like the almost final polling table of 2017. The variation between the firms is simply amazing and unprecedented in any previous general election. One thing is for certain some reputations will be made tonight and some will be trashed. In many ways I admire the bravery of those pollsters who have not felt the…

Read More Read More

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Election eve special

NEW PB/Polling Matters podcast: Election eve special

On a special eve of election podcast Keiran is joined by Politicalbetting.com Editor Mike Smithson and Deputy Habib Butt (TSE) to review the campaign, polls, seats to watch tomorrow night and to make some predictions. Listen here Follow this week’s guests: @keiranpedley @mikesmithsonpb @tseofpb    

Your essential Thursday evening companion. AndyJS’s general election spreadsheet

Your essential Thursday evening companion. AndyJS’s general election spreadsheet

Regular political betting readers will remember with much affection (and well-upholstered bank accounts) the spreadsheet that AndyJS produced for the EU referendum, setting out the expected   For 2017, he has prepared a constituency by constituency summary in order of their declaration in 2015, with the 2010 and 2015 tallies for each party. Using this, we should be able to identify patterns and trends more quickly, given that declarations are likely in practice to be in a fairly similar approximate order…

Read More Read More