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Category: General Election

The first poll of November finds a tad of comfort for Mrs. May and raises questions of LAB

The first poll of November finds a tad of comfort for Mrs. May and raises questions of LAB

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YouGov/Times carried out Tues/Wed CON 40%= LAB 43%+1 LD 6%-2 YouGov Times poll “best PM” ratings TMay 34%+1 Corbyn 31%-2 DK 35% YouGov Times poll – should TMay stand down? Should 32% -6 Should not 42%+3 Changes on month ago 44% tell YouGov Times poll that TMay should sack Boris against 26% saying she should keep him. Rest of sample don’t know With Mrs. May having to say goodbye to two of her 22 cabinet ministers in less than a…

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The big question is how much Corbyn’s LAB can capitalise on the Tory turmoil

The big question is how much Corbyn’s LAB can capitalise on the Tory turmoil

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Will the red team start to replicate its 2012 polling performance With the Tory difficulties that appear to mount by the day the time has come surely for Corbyn’s LAB to make significant advances in the polls. What’s been quite striking since June when LAB exceeded expectations is how the gap between the two main parties has remained relatively constant and on the low side. There’s been the odd poll showing a 6 point gap but mostly it has been…

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If these rumours turn out to be accurate I can see a 2018 general election happening

If these rumours turn out to be accurate I can see a 2018 general election happening

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Tory MPs tell me they are deeply anxious sexual harassment scandal escalating to be worse than expenses, and devastating for May https://t.co/eroIk0FRiD — Robert Peston (@Peston) October 30, 2017 PM’s official spokesman has refused to say she is confident none of her Cabinet have committed sexual misconduct. A bizarre state. — Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) October 30, 2017 PM fears dossier on pervy MPs may force her into cabinet reshuffle. https://t.co/e96RDxi8yX — David Wooding (@DavidWooding) October 28, 2017 Not looking…

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LAB’s GE17 candidate selection process makes it look amateurish, sloppy and is damaging

LAB’s GE17 candidate selection process makes it look amateurish, sloppy and is damaging

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This story by @MrHarryCole requires a lot of mind bleach.https://t.co/8E6cBX4INm — TSE (@TSEofPB) October 26, 2017 Another day and more O’Mara revelations come out All parties, including the Tories, were taken by surprise when Mrs May returned from her walking holiday in Snowdonia in April and announced that in spite of previous assurances that she wouldn’t go to the country before 2020 she was calling a general election. But the date was set for more than seven weeks later which…

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Consolation for Theresa – in spite of the Tory turmoil LAB isn’t pulling away

Consolation for Theresa – in spite of the Tory turmoil LAB isn’t pulling away

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We get so few voting polls these days that any new one is something of an event and today we had ICM for the Guardian which once again has the two main parties level pegging. Looking at the Wikipedia polling table above the big message is that the Tories have less to fear than might, at first, you would expect. Sure Labour is ahead in many of the polls but the picture is far from clear cut and it is…

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Just one in 20 CON voters on June 8th did so because of Theresa May

Just one in 20 CON voters on June 8th did so because of Theresa May

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So much for the campaign basing it all on her A unique feature of the Conservative campaign for the June election was that the branding was completely about Theresa May and you would have been hard pressed on things like the Tory battle bus to see the word Conservative. Clearly this was based on the belief believe that the Prime Minister herself was the strongest feature of the Conservatives offer in the election that she had called to endorse her…

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Corbyn was far less a driver of the GE2017 LAB vote than many of his supporters maintain

Corbyn was far less a driver of the GE2017 LAB vote than many of his supporters maintain

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Just 13% named him as their main reason for voting LAB In the aftermath of the June 8th general election so much was happening politically that not much attention was paid to the above YouGov polling carried out shortly afterwards. For me the interesting thing was how, in relative terms. Corbyn does not appear to be key factor which has been very much the narrative since. Just 13% named him as their main reason. As can be seen from the…

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Just two months left for Corbyn to achieve his Glastonbury boast – becoming PM by Christmas

Just two months left for Corbyn to achieve his Glastonbury boast – becoming PM by Christmas

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If all the polls had been looked like Survation & the YouGov model there’d have been fewer JC accolades Just on four months ago, after the LAB leader’s extraordinary reception at Glastonbury, the festival chief, Michael Eavis, reported that Corbyn had told him that he’d be PM within six months and that he would scrap Britain’s Trident nuclear defence system as soon as he could. The following day the LAB PR machine went into action to seek to play down…

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