Blair staying at 1.53 looks good value After yesterday’s move by William Hill to offer the best price on Labour for the General Election the bookmaker is beating the betting exchanges in another key General Election market – whether Tony Blair will be Labour leader on election day.? The mood has moved back to Blair in recent weeks and this has been reinforced by comments from Gordon Brown that the Prime Minister would stay until the Euro referendum at the…
….but Labour spread range hardens Moves against Labour on the General Election markets have seen the price go to 1.4 with William Hill, which has almost certainly got the biggest book and reflects money going on the Tories. This is the best value on Labour for a very long time and now might be the time to bet. To underline the value of this price punters should note that of the £306,000 that’s been matched on Labour in the Betfair…
How Labour’s 22.6% Euro votes would have produced 300 Westminster seats For several months we’ve been warning political gamblers about the risks of backing the Conservatives for the General Election because the way that Westminster seats are distributed means that the system is skewed towards Labour. With the rise of non-traditional parties such as UKIP this bias has become even more acute. It’s now possible for Labour to be 9% behind on votes and end up with more MPs. Nothing…
This 2001 General Election poster seeks to address a big problem for the Lib Dems – that of credibility. Electors might be attracted by the policy platform, they might give them a try at a local level as 29% did last Thursday, but at a General Election many do not believe they can win in a particular seat and see the Lib Dems as a “wasted vote”. But performances like this year’s local elections might start to change perceptions, especially…
Are the spread gamblers reading it wrongly? Either spread gamblers or the spread bookmakers seem to have concluded that Super Thursday was better for Labour than the Tories or Lib Dems and prices have moved Labour’s way. LAB 328-338 (+5) CON 240-250 (-3) LIB 53-58 (-2) Although our General Election CALL remains with Labour this was not reinforced by Thursday’s elections and we think that the spread markets are reacting wrongly. The Lib Dem spread seems to offer good value…
If Tony Blair is to be forced from office by the result of an election then the one that takes place in the US on November 2 is likely to have a bigger impact than coming third behind the Lib Dems in this year’s local polls. Certainly Thursday’s drubbing will provide further fuel for those in the Labour party who want him out. And, of course, there have been the rumours for months that at the famous Admiralty Arch dinner…
An ideal opportunity for betting exchange novices. The new market Betfair, has just opened on the date of the next UK General Election offers good profit opportunities and provides a vehicle for people not used to this form of gambling to learn about betting exchanges where notions like “the election date” can be traded like a stock or share. The “runners” are three month segments running from now until 2006 when Tony Blair has, by law, to go to the…
Need the Tories be so gloomy about the Westmister seat distribution? A number of Tory supporters are seeking to raise their General Election hopes by suggesting that the Westminster seat distribution that seems so skewed to Labour might not be as bad for them as it appear. There’s been a particular focus that this factor could be partially off-set by the anti-Tory tactical voting of 1997 and 2001 “unwinding”. Could this happen and what would be the effect? A major…