Why couldn’t the Brownites cash in on the Tory tax plan cock-up? On Sunday when I was planning the week ahead on the site I was convinced that the following days might see the moment when the Cameron band-wagon would drive to a halt. For judging by the weekend press reports Gordon Brown’s team had been absolutely cock a hoot over the way they had derailed last week’s Tory tax commission announcement and had got David Cameron and George Osborne…
How a device to deal with shy Tories gives Brown’s party a 4% boost If it’s any consolation today’s ICM poll in the Guardian could have been much much worse for Blair-Brown but for the pollster’s final adjustment that was introduced after the 1992 General Election to deal with the phenomenon of “shy Tories”. For instead of the CON 39%: LAB 29%: LD 22% headline figures that have been reported the shares were CON 41% – LAB 27%. For what…
The Guardian’s pollster shows the party has a 10% lead The vote shares in this month’s ICM poll for the Guardian are just out and show a big move away from Labour with the party down below 30%. The actual vote shares are with changes on the last survey from the pollster taken just after the Tory party conference CON 39 (+1): LAB 29 (-3): LD 22 (+2). The movements are in line with yesterday’s Communicate Research survey and compare…
The Independent’s pollster has the Lib Dems on just 14% Gloom for Labour and the Lib Dems and a boost for the Tories is the message from this morning’s poll in the Independent from Communicate Research – which has not had a published a national voting intention survey since last year’s General Election. The headline figures – CON 38%: LAB 32%: LD 14% – show a very high proportion of respondents going for other parties. Just under 1,000 people were…
How can Labour get him to loosen up a bit? The scene should be a happy one for the man most likely to be the next Labour leader. He’s there amongst enthusiastic supporters who are pleased to see him yet he stiffens up and appears aloof apparently unwilling or unable to engage with those around him. If he is like this amongst committed Labour supporters how is he going to be with the less committed – the groups Labour needs…
Surely Gordon should be attacking Cameron on the Tory tax plan? In times of old today’s publication of the findings of David Cameron’s policy commission on tax would provide Labour with all it needed. At last some meat for party policy wonks to get their teeth into and the furious attacks could begin on the threats to public services. Detailed data would be out within hours on what this would mean in every constituency in the land and the questions…
But Labour’s deficit is 8% with Brown/Cameron named as leaders The first fully post-conference season poll to be carried out, that for Populus in the Times this morning, has Labour moving to within just one point of the Tories. The shares with changes on the last Populus poll a month ago are: CON 36% (nc): LAB 35% (+3): LD 18% (-2). In the same October survey in 2005 which took place after the Tory conference in Blackpool had been dominating…
See for yourself the efffects of the boundary changes Anthony Wells, the person behind UK Polling Report, has this afternoon launched the latest version of his Election Guide – available online here. It’s a mine of information that we are sure to be looking at time and time again in the run up to the next General Election. Anthony (pictured above at the PBC party earlier in the year talking to a shy Guido hiding behind his beer glass) has…