Wikipedia Does YouGov point to Brown breaking through the 32% ceiling? As PB regulars will know I’m very sceptical about averaging polls because the pollsters all operate in such different ways that lumping them all into one big number does not really add to anything and can often give a distorted view. There’s was a well researched comment on this by Andy Cooke last night that’s now been made into a full post on PB Channel 2 . A good…
PB Moneys says Index: CON MAJ 53: Up 8 seats There’s been a sharp move back to the Tories on the Sporting Index Commons seats spread markets following the latest polls showing that Cameron’s party is retaining its position. The latest figures with the SELL price first and the BUY price second are: CON 349 – 354: LAB 226 – 231: LD 43 – 46 seats. This represents a four seat shift since Saturday. Here punters looking for high risk/high…
The Sun But didn’t this approach fail in C&N? The Sun’s Whip column is carrying an interesting story suggesting that Labour is planning to revive it’s “Toff attacks” on the Tories in the run up to the election. According to the report the plan is to portray Cameron, Osborne and possibly others as from a different class than ordinary people who have no real idea about their concerns. The report goes on: The campaign will make huge posters of those…
Click here to watch Was the Pickles roasting a foretaste of what’s to come? Like most recent polls this morning’s April survey by Populus for the Times picked up voter hostility towards MPs and their expenses – but it’s often hard from the numbers themselves to get a feel for the passion that this subject arouses. There’s real anger out there. In the same week that the Daniel Hannan YouTube speech was “going viral” there was, perhaps, an even more…
What if Brown becomes “The Chancellor of the World” An idea has been buzzing round my head all night and the more I think about it the more it sounds like a plausible theory that could totally overturn current thinking about the general election. It might be recalled that in February Jackie Ashley in the Guardian floated an idea of Brown becoming a “a new global financial supremo” linked possibly to the IMF – a rumour that she said then…
CON 41(nc) LAB 34(+3) LD 16(-1) But should Brown Central have been expecting much more? A new YouGov poll taken on Friday and today gives Labour a boost following the massive exposure for Gordon Brown during the G20 meeting. Fieldwork took place on the two days afterwards when most of the coverage was highly positive. The figures above show comparisons with the last survey from the firm just over a week ago. To put the change in context it will…
The Labour Party Spread moves suggest a CON MAJORITY of 45: Down 11 seats There’s been a sharp move to Labour on the Sporting Index Commons seats spread market follow the G20 meeting. The latest figures with the SELL price first and the BUY price second are: CON 345 – 350: LAB 230 – 235: LD 43 – 46 seats. The bookmaker has also reduced the range of the spread from six seats to five which should offer a little…
Politicalbetting.com February 27 2009 Is he going to continue to resist? According to a Daily Telegraph report this morning there was apparently good news for those who took the 6/1 bet that the former RBS boss, Sir Fred Goodwin will accept a cut in his much publicised pension entitlement. The bet was that he will either do so voluntarily or be forced to do so by the end of the year. It’s the bank’s AGM later today and clearly the…