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Category: General Election

If Boris Johnson hopes to win Labour seats at the general election then he needs to improve his approval ratings with GE2017 Labour voters

If Boris Johnson hopes to win Labour seats at the general election then he needs to improve his approval ratings with GE2017 Labour voters

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The Cummings and Johnson strategy has been clear for a while, sacrifice Tory seats in Scotland and Remain leaning seats elsewhere whilst winning a lot of Labour held seats that vote Leave. It is an interesting strategy that may work but looking at those numbers from the latest Opinium poll will make for sober reading for Cummings and Johnson. My own belief is that Labour voters are tribal and loyal and the jump to the Tories will not happen in…

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Sporting Index open their general election seat markets

Sporting Index open their general election seat markets

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My approach to the spreads is to snog the Lib Dems, marry the Greens & the Brexit Party, and avoid the Tories & Labour. I really enjoy spread betting, it is fun laced with huge risk which makes it fun, and allows you to open and close positions long before election day, plus in the past it has been very profitable so I’m glad Sporting Index have opened up these markets. I’ve spent the last few hours looking at this…

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This will be a day long remembered. It has seen the end of Bercow, and will soon see the end of No Deal, I think

This will be a day long remembered. It has seen the end of Bercow, and will soon see the end of No Deal, I think

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Boris Johnson maintains his perfect record of losing every single House of Commons vote held under his premiership. https://t.co/AIr8uBw6ui — Adam Bienkov (@AdamBienkov) September 9, 2019 A senior government source wishes Bercow well “Bercow thinks he’ll walk away as a hero, when most people in the country don’t know who he is and those that do think he’s a nauseating wanker. The man has been central to stopping Brexit – the nation won’t thank him.” — Alex Wickham (@alexwickham) September…

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A cunning ruse to persuade Corbyn to give Boris Johnson his early election or a damning indictment of the Cummings & Johnson strategy?

A cunning ruse to persuade Corbyn to give Boris Johnson his early election or a damning indictment of the Cummings & Johnson strategy?

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Exc: No10 has seen polling that means if there was an election now, Boris Johnson would do worse than Theresa May, according to Jason Stein, who was a Tory special advisor and Amber Rudd aide until Saturday night Here’s what he told me for a Sky News interview: pic.twitter.com/bDszzB2Ky7 — Sam Coates Sky (@SamCoatesSky) September 9, 2019 Conservative MPs won’t want an early election if this polling is accurate Sky News have an interesting story for anyone betting on or…

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Boris Johnson becomes Rudderless as the Conservative broad church continues to fracture

Boris Johnson becomes Rudderless as the Conservative broad church continues to fracture

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I have resigned from Cabinet and surrendered the Conservative Whip. I cannot stand by as good, loyal moderate Conservatives are expelled. I have spoken to the PM and my Association Chairman to explain. I remain committed to the One Nation values that drew me into politics. pic.twitter.com/kYmZHbLMES — Amber Rudd (@AmberRuddUK) September 7, 2019 NEW: Amber Rudd tells the Sunday Times she resigned because there is “no evidence” that Boris Johnson is really seeking a deal with the EU —…

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What will next set of polls show? I have no idea

What will next set of polls show? I have no idea

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I saw this, cringed so hard, my feet shrank three sizes. https://t.co/VbgZAte8pA — TSE (@TSEofPB) September 6, 2019 Thinking about what to have for lunch. Large bucket of boneless (certainly spineless) JFC (Jeremy’s Frightened & Chicken) perhaps. pic.twitter.com/37t2GKmVOI — James Cleverly?? (@JamesCleverly) September 6, 2019 If chicken suits swung voters we wouldn't be in this mess (we'd be facing Chaos with Ed Miliband) pic.twitter.com/Hkq7MJvFhV — James Morris (@jamesdmorris) September 6, 2019 This afternoon a friend asked me what I thought…

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No-vember election. A betting tip

No-vember election. A betting tip

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Picture: On the pavement in Parliament Square. Credit John Rentoul. I did warn Boris Johnson that going for an early election would not work. If only he’d listened to my advice, he would not be in the pickle of pleading for an election that the Opposition may or may not deign to give him. It would have suited me better as well, because my betting tip at the end of that column is currently well underwater. It just shows the danger of assuming that…

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If this poll turns out to be accurate then there’s no way Corbyn should agree to an October election

If this poll turns out to be accurate then there’s no way Corbyn should agree to an October election

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FT: Poll by ?@ICMResearch? suggests that a November election (as opposed to October) would wipe out the Tories’ big poll lead https://t.co/JTfN3d7Iu1 pic.twitter.com/ibGL5QLAKi — Jim Pickard ? (@PickardJE) September 5, 2019 Tonight’s Financial Times reports that Some Labour strategists believe the Tories would be damaged by a spike in support for Nigel Farage’s Brexit party if Mr Johnson fails to fulfil his pledge to take the UK out of the EU by October 31, “do or die”. An ICM poll…

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