This is a regular feature which will run every Sunday night up until polling day, to include the last set of figures from each pollster, as well as the current seat spreads from the betting markets, and also international updates. The pollsters Last poll from each pollster Con Lab LD Oth Lead YouGov 10 Apr 40 32 18 10 8 BPIX 10 Apr 38 31 20 11 7 ICM 10 Apr 38 30 21 11 8 ComRes 10 Apr 39…
Is Dale right – “this is the smartest poster yet”? Iain Dale has blogged on this suggesting that it’s smart because “it’s what most voters think”. I think he’s wrong and that the poster is a mistake. Are UKIP trying to put not voting at all on the same level as voting UKIP? UKIP have a good message on the EU – why not stick with it? And I’m not so sure whether using what many consider to be a…
YG daily poll S. Times Apr 10 Apr 9 CONSERVATIVES 40% 40% LABOUR 32% 30% LIB DEMS 18% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5.5% 6.5% BPIX/YG Mail on Sunday Apr 10 Mar 27 CONSERVATIVES 38% 37% LABOUR 31% 30% LIB DEMS 20% 20% LAB to CON swing from 2005 5% 5% With so many surveys all coming out overnight it can be quite hard digesting them and I’ve deferred publishing the YouGov daily poll detail until the BPIX/YouGov…
Should a party rename itself after a bookie? With all the bookies trying to catch the attention of potential political gamblers in the run-up to the election William Hill and and Official Monster Raving Loony Party have come up with an original sponsorship deal – the party is to be renamed after the firm for the period of the election campaign. This means, I guess, that in its new guise, the Monster Raving Loony William Hill Party, will be described…
Could his call be counter-productive? The Indy’s front page features a plea from Baron Adonis, a former Liberal Democrat councillor in Oxford and ex-PPC, to supporters of the party he defected from to support Labour on May 6th in order to stop the Tories. His first target of supporters of his former party in Labour-Tory marginals because, “a vote for the Lib Dems is a vote which helps the Tories against progressive policies.” That’s fairly standard rhetoric and is central…
Harris – Metro Apr 8 Mar 29 CONSERVATIVES 37% 37% LABOUR 28% 27% LIB DEMS 19% 19% LAB to CON swing from 2005 6% 6.5% This week’s poll from Harris Interactive is published in the Metro this morning – although fieldwork finished on Tuesday – the day the election was called. So the poll, in the context of the current battle, is quite old and it is odd that it should have taken so long for the fieldwork to have…
Message from Robert: Well that was rubbish. We were trying to load-balance between the servers using perlbal. And perlbal performed so badly the load-balancer itself was unreachable. I’m going to try using nginx for load-balancing now. Hopefully there won’t be too many ill effects. If anyone has any experience implementing software load balancing on Linux, please email me: rcs1000 at g mail dot com Populus Apr 7 (Feb 7) CON 2010 LAB 2010 LD 2010 Voted CON in 2005 90%…
PB’s MORUS on standardised constituency tags We all know, or should do by now, that there is nowhere better to be on an election night than in the comments section of PoliticalBetting.com – the 2010 General Election will be no different in that respect. However, one development of the last 2 years means that we will have access to more information from the ground than ever before. Developments in the mobile web mean that it is now commonplace for people…